Ed Scimia
• Betting Analyst
+17 years betting experience
Updated:
Mar 6, 2026 , 01:30 PM ET
• 4 min read
Scimia’s prediction: Expect a low-scoring affair in Phoenix.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Zion Williamson of the New Orleans Pelicans.
The Phoenix Suns will look to bounce back from a surprising home loss last night as they host the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday evening.
Both teams are playing the second half of a back-to-back, and that’s just one of the reasons why I like the Under in my Pelicans vs. Suns predictions.
Keep reading to see my full analysis of tonight’s game and get my free NBA picks for Friday, March 6.
Pelicans vs Suns prediction
Pelicans vs Suns best bet: Under 226.5 (-110)
The Phoenix Suns boast some of the lowest game scores in the NBA, averaging a game total of 223.1 ppg. Phoenix has hit the Under in its last five games, with totals of 223 points or less in each of its last seven contests.
Phoenix averages 99.4 possessions per game, making it one of the five slowest teams in the NBA.
The New Orleans Pelicans are an average team in pace metrics and rank 22nd in offensive efficiency (110.9), so they’re not going to force Phoenix to speed up. On the second night of a back-to-back for both teams, the Under is the play.
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Pelicans vs Suns same-game parlay
The Pelicans are playing some of their best basketball of the year, and a big part of that is having their biggest stars playing at full health.
For my same-game parlay, I’m taking New Orleans to cover behind Zion Williamson and Trey Murphy III, both of whom have scored 20+ points in each of their last two games.
Pelicans vs Suns SGP
- Pelicans +5.5
- Zion Williamson Over 19.5 points
- Trey Murphy III Over 19.5 points
Our “from downtown” SGP: TREYS!
I like taking the Pelicans to win outright, as they’re 5-2 in their last seven games and 3-2 on their current road trip.
I’ll combine that with a mix of New Orleans-based prop bets: Murphy has hit these rebounding and three-pointer Over targets in each of his last two games, while Williamson has at least 28 PRA in 11 of his last 12 games.
Pelicans vs Suns SGP
- Pelicans moneyline
- Trey Murphy III Over 2.5 made threes
- Trey Murphy III Over 4.5 rebounds
- Zion Williamson Over 27.5 points + rebounds + assists
Pelicans vs Suns odds
- Spread: Pelicans +7 (-110) | Suns -7 (-110)
- Moneyline: Pelicans +192 | Suns -230
- Over/Under: Over 227 (-110) | Under 227 (-110)
Pelicans vs Suns betting trend to know
The Under is 5-0 in Phoenix’s last five games overall. Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Suns.
How to watch Pelicans vs Suns
Location
Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date
Friday, March 6, 2026
Tip-off
9:00 p.m. ET
TV
GCSEN, KTVK
Pelicans vs Suns latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.
His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.
Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well.
Ed’s advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.
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