2026 BNP Paribas Open: Giron [69th] vs. Mensik [12th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the BNP Paribas Open Round of 64 on Friday, No. 69-ranked Marcos Giron faces No. 12 Jakub Mensik.

Mensik is favored (-285) to get to the Round of 32 against the underdog Giron (+210).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 6:36 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Marcos Giron vs. Jakub Mensik matchup info

• Tournament: BNP Paribas Open
• Round: Round of 64
• Date: Friday, March 6
• Court Surface: Hard

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Giron vs. Mensik Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Giron has a 74.0% to win.

Giron vs. Mensik Betting Odds

• Giron’s odds to win match: +210
• Mensik’s odds to win match: -285
• Giron’s odds to win tournament: +8000
• Mensik’s odds to win tournament: +1200

Giron vs. Mensik matchup performance & stats

• Giron is 16-19 on hard courts over the past year.
• Giron has won 22.7% of his return games on hard courts over the past year, and 79.0% of his service games.
• Giron is 22nd in break points won on hard courts over the past year, converting 88 of 226 (38.9%).
• Giron was defeated by Casper Ruud (6-4, 6-7, 4-6) on February 18 in the Round of 16 of his most recent tournament, the Delray Beach Open by VITACOST.com.
• Mensik has put up a 26-10 record on hard courts over the past year, clinching two tournament titles.
• When playing on hard courts, Mensik has an 82.5% winning percentage in service games and a 26.4% winning percentage in return games.
• Mensik has won 42.4% of break points on hard courts (84 out of 198) to rank 28th.
• In his previous tournament (the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships) on February 26, Mensik squared off against Tallon Griekspoor in the quarterfinals and was defeated 3-6, 6-3, 2-6.