2026 BNP Paribas Open: Tomljanovic [85th] vs. Paolini [7th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the BNP Paribas Open Round of 32 on Sunday, we have a matchup featuring No. 7-ranked Jasmine Paolini against No. 85 Ajla Tomljanovic.

Paolini has -210 odds to earn a spot in the Round of 16 with a win over Tomljanovic (+160).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Sunday at 2:36 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Ajla Tomljanovic vs. Jasmine Paolini matchup info

• Tournament: BNP Paribas Open
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Sunday, March 8
• Court Surface: Hard

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Tomljanovic vs. Paolini Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Tomljanovic has a 67.7% to win.

Tomljanovic vs. Paolini Betting Odds

• Tomljanovic’s odds to win match: +160
• Paolini’s odds to win match: -210

Tomljanovic vs. Paolini matchup performance & stats

• In 15 hard-court tournaments over the past year, Tomljanovic is 14-15 in matches.
• Tomljanovic has won 34.3% of her return games on hard courts over the past 12 months, and 65.8% of her service games.
• Tomljanovic has converted 44.3% of her break-point chances on hard courts (104 of 235) over the past year.
• In the the ATX Open, Tomljanovic’s most recent tournament, she was defeated in the quarterfinals 3-6, 3-6 by No. 80-ranked Kimberly Birrell on February 27.
• The 30-year-old Paolini, who is seeking her first tournament title on a hard court in 2026, is 25-15 over the past year on that surface.
• Paolini is 278-for-418 in service games on hard courts (66.5%) and 156-for-414 in return games (37.7%).
• On hard courts Paolini has won 45.7% of break points (150 out of 328) to rank 14th.
• On February 28, Paolini lost to No. 63-ranked Cristina Bucsa, 5-7, 4-6, in the semifinal of the Merida Open Akron, her most recent tournament.