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WBC tiebreaker rules and scenarios: How USA baseball team can advance

Why Tarik Skubal is not pitching for Team USA in more WBC games

Tarik Skubal explains to the media why he decided against pitching in future World Baseball Classic games, despite camaraderie he’s found with his USA teammates.

Pool B in the World Baseball Classic has turned into a nailbiter, coming down not only to the final game but the final score. 

Italy (3-0) and Mexico (2-1) will play the pool’s final game March 11, and the Italians (or American-born players with Italian lineage) can win the pool by defeating Mexico. 

That would ensure Team USA (3-1) gets the second ticket to the quarterfinals. But a Mexico victory creates a three-way tie atop the group, and with each team 1-1 against the other two, the first tiebreaker – “fewest runs allowed divided by the number of defensive outs recorded in the games in that round between the teams tied.” 

So what does that mean for Team USA? It’s relatively simple: 

If Mexico wins and scores four or fewer runs, Team USA is eliminated. A Mexico win while scoring five or more runs ensures the USA goes forward. 

And, simplest of all, an Italy victory puts the Italians and Americans in the quarterfinals (even if Team USA has to choke down a serving of humble pie by not winning the group). 

WBC pool tiebreakers for USA

USA ADAVANCES IF:

  • Italy defeats Mexico
  • Mexico beats Italy, scoring five or more runs

USA IS ELIMINATED IF:

  • Mexico defeats Italy, scoring four or less runs

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WBC Pool B standings

Entering Wednesday

  1. Italy: 3-0
  2. United States: 3-1
  3. Mexico: 2-1
  4. Great Britain: 1-3
  5. Brazil: 0-4

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