Updated:
Mar 11, 2026 , 10:18 AM ET
• 4 min read
Larry Johnson and the Cowboys will take advantage of a sloppy Lumberjacks team and punch their ticket to the Big Dance, per our college basketball expert.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. McNeese Cowboys guard Larry Johnson (6) dribbles the ball.
The McNeese Cowboys seek their third consecutive Southland Conference championship when they face regular-season champion Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks.
The Cowboys enjoy home-court advantage, and my Stephen F. Austin vs. McNeese predictions expect them to come out on top.
Read on for my college basketball picks for Wednesday, March 11.
Stephen F. Austin vs McNeese prediction
Stephen F. Austin vs McNeese best bet
Stephen F. Austin vs McNeese best bet: McNeese moneyline (-120)
The McNeese Cowboys have home-court advantage in the Southland Conference final and hold another clear edge in one of the most important areas in basketball: points off turnovers.
The Cowboys average 22.7 points per game off turnovers while allowing just 10. They face a Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks team that commits 15 turnovers per game and allows nearly 15 points off those mistakes.
McNeese’s top-ranked conference defense and full-court pressure should force the Lumberjacks into the same errors they’ve made all season, and those buckets in transition will allow the Cowboys to cut down their own nets.
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Stephen F. Austin vs McNeese same-game parlay
Larry Johnson is the Cowboys engine and has scored 18 or more points in four of his previous five games.
Tonight’s clash features two slow-tempo teams that also rank as the top two defensive units in the conference. That combination usually leads to fewer possessions and tougher scoring chances.
I’m expecting a tight, physical defensive battle that mirrors their previous two meetings this season, both of which finished Under the total.
Stephen F. Austin vs McNeese SGP
- McNeese moneyline
- Larry Johnson Over 17.5 points
- Under 136
Our beyond the arc SGP: Keon crumbles
Lumberjacks forward Keon Thompson is a streaky scorer, and has failed to score 18 or more points in three of his previous five contests.
Stephen F. Austin vs McNeese SGP
- McNeese moneyline
- Larry Johnson Over 17.5 points
- Under 136
- Keon Thompson Under 17.5 points
Stephen F. Austin vs McNeese odds
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin +1.5 (-110) | McNeese -1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Stephen F. Austin +110 | McNeese -130
- Over/Under: Over 137.5 (-110) | Under 137.5 (-110)
Stephen F. Austin vs McNeese betting trend to know
McNeese is 9-1 SU in their last 10 games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Stephen F. Austin vs. McNeese.
How to watch Stephen F. Austin vs McNeese
Location
Townsley Law Arena, Lake Charles, LA
Date
Wednesday, March 11, 2026
Tip-off
5:00 p.m. ET
TV
ESPN2
Stephen F. Austin vs McNeese key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.
Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports.
His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.
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