2026 BNP Paribas Open: Kartal [54th] vs. Rybakina [3rd] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the BNP Paribas Open Round of 16 on Wednesday, No. 54-ranked Sonay Kartal faces No. 3 Elena Rybakina.

Rybakina has -625 odds to win this match versus Kartal (+400).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 6:36 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Sonay Kartal vs. Elena Rybakina matchup info

• Tournament: BNP Paribas Open
• Round: Round of 16
• Date: Wednesday, March 11
• Court Surface: Hard

Watch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo!

Kartal vs. Rybakina Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Kartal has an 86.2% to win.

Kartal vs. Rybakina Betting Odds

• Kartal’s odds to win match: +400
• Rybakina’s odds to win match: -625

Kartal vs. Rybakina matchup performance & stats

• Kartal has a match record of 14-11 on hard courts over the last 12 months.
• On hard courts over the past 12 months, Kartal has won 70.6% of her service games and 34.2% of her return games.
• Kartal has converted 92 of 189 break points on hard courts (48.7%) over the past 12 months and is 79th in break points won.
• Kartal was beaten in the Qualification Final of her previous tournament (the WTA Dubai, UAE) 4-6, 3-6 by No. 114-ranked Aliaksandra Sasnovich on February 14.
• Rybakina has won three tournaments on hard courts over the past year, registering a 37-11 record on that surface.
• While playing on hard courts, Rybakina has an 82.5% winning percentage in service games and a 33.9% winning percentage in return games.
• On hard courts Rybakina is 174-for-369 on break points, 47.2%, to rank sixth.
• In the Round of 16 of her last tournament (the WTA Dubai, UAE) on February 18, Rybakina was beaten by No. 67-ranked Antonia Ruzic 7-5, 4-6, 0-1.