Neil Parker
• Betting Analyst
16+ years betting experience
Updated:
Mar 12, 2026 , 11:58 AM ET
• 3 min read
Parker’s prediction: Goals will be at a premium at Scotiabank Arena tonight
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Toronto Maple Leafs goalie Joseph Woll.
The Toronto Maple Leafs welcome the Anaheim Ducks to Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, March 12, and the two teams couldn’t be heading in more opposite directions.
Anaheim is scorching hot and pushing for a postseason berth, while Toronto is punching the clock to end a lost season.
My top Ducks vs. Maple Leafs predictions and NHL picks call for a low-scoring bout tonight.
Ducks vs Maple Leafs prediction
Ducks vs Maple Leafs best bet: Under 6.5 (+105)
The Toronto Maple Leafs have been under attack for poor defensive play and have surrendered a league-high 4.2 goals per game during their active 4-12-4 stretch.
As a result, we’re landing a fair price for this Under because Toronto has also only scored 2.5 goals per game during the slump, and the Maple Leafs are running into the sneaky Anaheim Ducks and red-hot starter Lukas Dostal.
Dostal has posted a solid .904 save percentage with a league-high 16.23 goals saved above expected across his past 15 starts, which includes a .939 SV% on the highway.
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Ducks vs Maple Leafs same-game parlay
The Maple Leafs have also allowed the most shots per game (33.8) during the highlighted slump, while the Ducks have averaged a healthy 29.3 during the same stretch, so I’m anticipating Joseph Woll to be busy.
In addition to making 28 or more saves in six of his past nine starts, Woll was particularly sharp Tuesday against the Canadiens with 30 stops and 1.79 goals saved above expected.
The final leg of this same-game parlay turns to Toronto winger William Nylander, who has recorded three or more shots in seven of his past 11 games while logging a healthy 19:26 of ice time per night.
Ducks vs Maple Leafs SGP
- Under 6.5
- Joseph Woll Over 27.5 saves
- William Nylander Over 2.5 shots
Ducks vs Maple Leafs odds
- Moneyline: Ducks -105 | Maple Leafs -115
- Puck Line: Ducks +1.5 (-245) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+200)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-125) | Under 6.5 (+105)
Ducks vs Maple Leafs trend
The Anaheim Ducks have hit the Under in five of their last six games (+4.10 Units / 63% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Ducks vs. Maple Leafs.
How to watch Ducks vs Maple Leafs
Location
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Date
Thursday, March 12, 2026
Puck drop
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
TSN4
Ducks vs Maple Leafs latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.
Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.
Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.
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