Tulsa vs North Texas College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for AAC Tournament

The No. 3 seed Tulsa Golden Hurricane (25-6, 13-5 AAC) will meet the No. 6 seed North Texas Mean Green (19-13, 9-9 AAC) in the AAC tournament Friday at Legacy Arena at BJCC, starting at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Tulsa vs. North Texas Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 13, 2026
• Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Birmingham, Alabama
• Arena: Legacy Arena at BJCC

Tulsa vs. North Texas Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Tulsa win (75.9%)

Read the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Friday’s Tulsa-North Texas spread (Tulsa -8.5) or total (142.5 points).

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Tulsa vs. North Texas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Tulsa has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
• North Texas has covered 16 times in 30 matchups with a spread this year.
• As an 8.5-point favorite or more in 2025-26, Tulsa is 5-6 against the spread compared to the 2-3 ATS record North Texas puts up as an 8.5-point underdog.
• In home games, the Golden Hurricane own a better record against the spread (7-6-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (4-7-0).
• Against the spread, the Mean Green have had better results on the road (7-5-0) than at home (6-8-0).
• Tulsa has covered the spread eight times in 17 conference games.
• North Texas has 10 wins against the spread in 19 AAC games this year.

Tulsa vs. North Texas: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Tulsa has won in 19, or 86.4%, of the 22 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Golden Hurricane have a win-loss record of 10-1 when favored by -385 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• North Texas has gone 7-8 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 46.7% of those games).
• The Mean Green have played in six games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +300 or longer without a win.
• Tulsa has an implied victory probability of 79.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Tulsa vs. North Texas Head-to-Head Comparison

• Tulsa’s +422 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 13.6 points per game) is a result of scoring 86 points per game (15th in college basketball) while allowing 72.4 per contest (133rd in college basketball).
• Tulsa’s leading scorer, David Green, ranks 185th in the nation putting up 16.5 points per game.
• North Texas’ +122 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 70.5 points per game (292nd in college basketball) while allowing 66.7 per contest (27th in college basketball).
• Je’Shawn Stevenson leads North Texas, scoring 17.3 points per game (134th in college basketball).
• The Golden Hurricane record 33.5 rebounds per game (95th in college basketball) while allowing 28.2 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 5.3 boards per game.
• Green leads the team with 4.6 rebounds per game (755th in college basketball play).
• The 31.7 rebounds per game the Mean Green accumulate rank 200th in college basketball, 1.3 more than the 30.4 their opponents grab.
• Dylan Arnett paces the Mean Green with 5.8 rebounds per game (326th in college basketball).
• Tulsa ranks third in college basketball with 110.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 126th in college basketball defensively with 93.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Mean Green average 92.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (298th in college basketball), and concede 87.6 points per 100 possessions (34th in college basketball).

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