The Miami Heat (38-32) visit the Houston Rockets (42-27) Saturday for an 8 p.m. ET tip from Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. Let’s analyze NBA odds around the Heat vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Heat lead 1-0
Miami has dropped 3 games in a row after falling 134-126 against the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday, failing to cover as a 3.5-point home favorite with the Over (242.5) hitting. C Bam Adebayo scored a team-high 28 points with 10 rebounds, while the Heat fell victim to a 60-point performance from Luka Doncic in the losing effort.
Houston got back in the win column on Friday with a 117-95 victory over the Atlanta Hawks, covering as a 3-point home favorite with the Under (227.5) hitting. F Kevin Durant led all scorers with 25 points, while F Jabari Smith Jr. added 23 and C Alperen Sengun (15, 9 rebounds, 10 assists) flirted with a triple-double in the winning effort.
The Heat took down the Rockets 115-105, covering as 2.5-point home underdogs with the Under (226.5) hitting in their first meeting this season in late February.
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Heat at Rockets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rockets -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +2.5 (-118) | Rockets -2.5 (-102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Heat at Rockets key injuries
Heat
- F Simone Fontecchio (back) questionable
- F Jaime Jaquez Jr. (hip) out
- G Pelle Larsson (foot) questionable
- F Andrew Wiggins (toe) out
Rockets
(Not yet submitted — below was for Friday’s game)
- C Steven Adams (ankle) out
- F Jae’Sean Tate (knee) out
- G Fred VanVleet (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Rockets picks and predictions
Prediction
Rockets 123, Heat 120
BET ROCKETS (-135).
The Rockets are 24-10 at home this season and 4-2 in their last 6 at home. They are coming off a major 22-point win, snapping the Hawks’ 11-game winning streak, and play their best ball in front of their home crowd. They face a Heat team dealing with injuries that has also dropped 3 games in a row. The Heat are just 15-19 on the road this season.
PASS.
Despite the Rockets holding the advantage and a narrow spread, the moneyline still has the best value.
The Rockets are 30-39 ATS this season and 3-7 ATS in their last 10, while the Heat are 41-28-1 ATS and 7-3 ATS in their last 10.
BET OVER 227.5 (-110).
The Heat have scored at least 115 in 8 of their last 10 games and have hit the Over in 4 of their last 5, including each of their last 3. They have allowed 134 or more points in back-to-back games and at least 121 in 4 of their last 5.
The Rockets have scored 116 or more in back-to-back games and have allowed at least 124 in 2 of their last 5.
With both teams equipped with hot scorers, expect a close offensive battle. This total has already dropped 2 points in our favor Saturday.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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