The LA Clippers (34-36) and Dallas Mavericks (23-47) meet Saturday. Tip-off from American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze NBA odds around the Clippers vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Clippers lost back-to-bask games at New Orleans on Wednesday and Thursday, failing to cover in both — once as a 4.5-point underdog and the other a 2-point favorite — with the Under hitting both times. The Clippers shot just 19-of-32 (59%) from the foul line Thursday. LA has lost 4 straight, failing to reach 110 points in 3 of those losses.
Dallas was routed 135-120 by the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday, failing to cover as an 8.5-point home underdog with the Over (239.5) hitting. The Mavs turned the ball over 19 times and allowed the Hawks to shoot 54% from the field in the loss. The Mavericks have lost back-to-back games, giving up at least 132 PPG.
The Mavericks picked up a 114-110 win over the Clippers in their most recent matchup Nov. 29. Dallas covered as a 9-point road underdog while the Over (223.5) cashed. F Cooper Flagg went off for 35 points and 8 boards to carry the Mavs to the win. G Klay Thompson scored 23 off the bench and the Mavs converted 18 turnovers into 20 points.
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Clippers at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at noon ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Clippers -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Mavericks +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
- Against the spread (ATS): Clippers -7.5 (-105) | Mavericks +7.5 (-1115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Clippers at Mavericks key injuries
Clippers
- G Bradley Beal (hip) out
- F Kawhi Leonard (ankle) questionable
- F/G Bennedict Mathurin (toe) out
- C Yanic Konan Niederhauser (foot) out
Mavericks
- G Kyrie Irving (knee) out
- C Dereck Lively II (foot) out
- F Caleb Martin (heel) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Clippers at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Clippers 114, Mavericks 106
PASS.
The Clippers are the much better team, so they should have no problem covering here as -275 favorites. However, no team, especially not one maybe missing its best player, is worth the risk of backing as such heavy favorites on the ML, so pass here and bet on the spread and/or total instead.
LEAN CLIPPERS -7.5 (-105).
Los Angeles has covered the spread in 13 of its last 20 games while the Mavs are just 7-13 ATS in their last 20. LA is also 37-33 ATS this season, much better than Dallas’ 30-40 ATS mark. The Clippers are also 3-1 ATS in their last 4 against Dallas.
This is a LEAN because of Leonard’s injury status (questionable). If he plays, this turns to a BET Clippers -7.5 (-105).
BET UNDER 234.5 (-110).
The Under is 7-3 in Dallas’ last 10 games and 39-31 for the Mavericks this season. For Los Angeles, the Under has hit in 5 straight. The Under has also hit in 2 of the last 3 matchups between these squads in Dallas.
With Leonard potentially out, look for this to be a very slow and defensive battle in which neither team reaches 115 points.
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