2026 Miami Open presented by Itau: Paul [23rd] vs. Collignon [72nd] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the Round of 32 at the Miami Open presented by Itau on Sunday, Raphael Collignon (ranked No. 72) faces Tommy Paul (No. 23).

Paul has -275 odds to win this match versus Collignon (+210).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Sunday at 2:37 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Tommy Paul vs. Raphael Collignon matchup info

• Tournament: Miami Open presented by Itau
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Sunday, March 22
• Court Surface: Hard

Watch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo!

Paul vs. Collignon Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Paul has a 73.3% to win.

Paul vs. Collignon Betting Odds

• Paul’s odds to win match: -275
• Collignon’s odds to win match: +210

Paul vs. Collignon matchup performance & stats

• In nine hard-court tournaments over the past year, Paul is 14-9 in matches.
• In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts over the past year, Paul has won 84.4% of his games on serve and 23.0% on return.
• Including hard courts only, Paul has converted 39.5% of his break-point opportunities (60 of 152) over the past 12 months.
• In his last tournament (the BNP Paribas Open), Paul was defeated by Joao Fonseca 2-6, 3-6 on March 8, in the Round of 32.
• Collignon has failed to win a title on hard courts over the past year, posting a 9-8 match record on that surface.
• Collignon has an 81.3% winning percentage in service games on hard courts, and an 18.1% winning percentage in return games.
• On hard courts Collignon ranks 108th in break point winning percentage (30.7%) after going 35-for-114.
• On March 4, Collignon lost to No. 35-ranked Fonseca, 6-7, 4-6, in the Round of 128 of his most recent tournament, the BNP Paribas Open.