The ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/16-finals keep offering some clear reads. Humbert has both the H2H edge and fresher legs, Medvedev’s consistency should be too much over time, and Auger-Aliassime looks in strong enough form to stay in control if he maintains his level.
ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/16-Finals
Shevchenko – Humbert: 23.03.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: 0-3
Alexander Shevchenko has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Shevchenko defeated Arnaldi in the opening round in three sets after playing for almost three hours. In the second round, the Kazakh upset Shelton in three tight sets, after losing the opening set.
Ugo Humbert has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, the Frenchman defeated Diallo in the opening match in straight sets, not offering any breakpoints.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Humbert is the favourite in this matchup and we agree. He leads 3-0 in head-to-head meetings against Shevchenko and has dominated in the opening match here. We expect him to get a comfortable straight sets win.
That being said, Humbert winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ugo Humbert winning 2-0 @1.73 @bet365
Cerundolo – Medvedev: 23.03.2026 17:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Francisco Cerundolo has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, the Argentine defeated Tirante in the opening match in straight sets. He trailed 1-3 in the opening set, but turned it around.
Daniil Medvedev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Medvedev lost to Sinner in the final in two tiebreaks. A week before, he won the ATP 500 title in Dubai. This week in Miami, the Russian defeated Sakamoto in the opening match in three sets, after losing the opening set 6-7.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Medvedev is the clear favourite in this matchup and we agree. He has been one of the most consistent players this season. We expect him to dominate the rallies and get an easy win.
That being said, Medvedev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Daniil Medvedev -3.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365
Auger-Aliassime – Atmane: 23.03.2026 17.30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, the Canadian defeated Fucsovics in the opening match in straight sets. He was a better player under pressure.
Terence Atmane has lost three of his last five matches. This is his debut campaign in the main draw tournament here in Miami. In the opening round, Atmane defeated Altmaier in straight sets. In the second round, Atmane outlasted Rinderknech in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Auger-Aliassime is the favourite in this matchup and we agree. He dominated over the past few weeks. If he continues playing at this level, we expect him to get into the top 5 in the rankings. We believe Auger-Aliassime will be a better player tonight.
That being said, Auger-Aliassime covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Felix Auger-Aliassime -3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
