2026 Miami Open presented by Itau: Baptiste [45th] vs. Ostapenko [24th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the Miami Open presented by Itau Round of 16 on Monday, No. 45-ranked Hailey Baptiste faces No. 24 Jelena Ostapenko.

Ostapenko is the favorite (-120) against Baptiste (-105) in this Round of 16 match.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 10:36 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Hailey Baptiste vs. Jelena Ostapenko matchup info

• Tournament: Miami Open presented by Itau
• Round: Round of 16
• Date: Monday, March 23
• Court Surface: Hard

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Baptiste vs. Ostapenko Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Baptiste has a 54.5% to win.

Baptiste vs. Ostapenko Betting Odds

• Baptiste’s odds to win match: -105
• Ostapenko’s odds to win match: -120

Baptiste vs. Ostapenko matchup performance & stats

• Baptiste is 11-16 on hard courts over the past 12 months.
• On hard courts over the past year, Baptiste has won 68.7% of her service games and 27.7% of her return games.
• Baptiste has converted 83 of 205 break points on hard courts (40.5%) over the past 12 months and is 90th in break points won.
• In her previous tournament, the BNP Paribas Open, Baptiste lost in the Round of 64 to No. 3-ranked Elena Rybakina, 6-7, 6-2, 2-6 on March 7.
• Ostapenko has failed to win a title on hard courts over the past year, putting up a 10-13 record on that surface.
• Ostapenko is 140-for-239 in service games on hard courts (58.6%) and 93-for-246 in return games (37.8%).
• On hard courts Ostapenko is 87-for-163 on break points, 53.4%, to rank 86th.
• In the Round of 32 of her most recent tournament (the BNP Paribas Open) on March 9, Ostapenko was beaten by No. 5-ranked Jessica Pegula 6-4, 3-6, 2-6.