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ATP Miami Best Bets Including Tommy Paul vs Arthur Fils

The ATP Masters 1000 Miami quarterfinals look well set. Landaluce’s run has been impressive, but fatigue could be a factor, giving Lehecka the edge. Paul, meanwhile, looks fresh and confident, and could edge Fils despite his strong form.

ATP Masters 1000 Miami quarterfinals

Landaluce – Lehecka: 25.03.2026 20:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Martin Landaluce has won six straight matches. This week in Miami, the Spaniard qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the opening and second rounds, Landaluce defeated Giron and Darderi. He upset Khachanov in the third round in straight sets. Landaluce trailed 2-4 in the second set, but turned it around. His toughest challenge happened in the 1/8-Finals against Korda. After playing for almost three hours and losing the opening set, Landaluce turned the match around. He even saved one match point in the second set tiebreak.

Jiri Lehecka has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Lehecka won the opening match against Kouame in straight sets. He offered and saved three breakpoints. In the third round, the Czech defeated Quinn in straight sets, not offering any breakpoints. His toughest challenge happened in the 1/8-Finals. Lehecka upset Fritz in three tight sets. He played well under pressure, saving all five breakpoints he offered.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Lehecka is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is returning to the top 20 in the rankings and has played well so far this week in Miami. His experience and more power in the tank should prevail in this match.

That being said, Lehecka covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Jiri Lehecka -3.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365

Paul – Fils: 26.03.2026 01:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0

Tommy Paul has won four of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Paul defeated Mannarino in the opening match in three sets. He trailed 1-3 in the deciding set, but turned it around. In the third round, the American defeated Collignon in three sets. Even though he lost his serve three times, Paul was a better player under pressure. Etcheverry stood no chance in the 1/8-Finals against him. Paul offered only one breakpoint and won in straight sets.

Arthur Fils has won four of his last five matches. This week in Miami, the Frenchman defeated Blanch in the opening match in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints. In the third round, Fils demolished Tsitsipas within an hour in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints. His toughest challenge came in the 1/8-Finals, when he beat Vacherot in three tight sets. Once again, Fils saved all breakpoints.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Paul is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. The American is well rested after demolishing Etcheverry in the 1/8-Finals. He won the only head-to-head meeting over Fils, and we expect him to get the second win against Fils tonight.

That being said, Paul winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Tommy Paul winning @2.10 @bet365

Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

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