The Dallas Mavericks (23-49) will face the Denver Nuggets (45-28) on Wednesday at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mavericks lead 2-1; In the teams’ most recent meeting, Denver took down Dallas 118-109 as a 1.5-point road underdog while the Over (224.5) cashed on Jan. 14.
It’s been far from smooth sailing for the Mavericks this season, who are on a 4-game losing streak ahead of tip-off on Wednesday. Dallas lost to the Golden State Warriors 137-131 in overtime as 2.5-point home underdogs with the Over (230.5) connecting on Monday.
That loss officially eliminated the Mavericks from playoff contention, as they are 11 games back of Golden State for the No. 10 seed in the Western Conference with 10 games to play.
The Nuggets are on a 3-game winning streak and are 6-2 over their last 8 contests. Denver edged out a narrow 125-123 over the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday but failed to cover as 6-point road favorites while the Over (233.5) cashed. The game saw was another stellar performance from C Nikola Jokic (23 points, 17 rebounds, and 17 assists), who hit the game-winning shot.
The Nuggets enter Wednesday 0.5 games ahead of the Minnesota Timberwolves for the No. 4 seed in the Western Conference and 1.5 games behind the Los Angeles Lakers for the No. 3 seed.
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Mavericks at Nuggets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Nuggets -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +12.5 (-110) | Nuggets -12.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 244.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Mavericks at Nuggets key injuries
Mavericks
- C Daniel Gafford (shoulder) questionable
- SF Caleb Martin (foot) out
- PG Brandon Williams (concussion) questionable
Nuggets
(Not yet submitted — below was for Tuesday’s game)
- PF Peyton Watson (hamstring) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Mavericks at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 127, Mavericks 119
Although the Nuggets are certainly the better team and the Mavericks aren’t playing for a postseason spot, PASS on the Moneyline in this showdown.
While Dallas is just 2-7-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games, BET MAVERICKS +12.5 (-110).
On the season, the Nuggets are only 5-10 ATS when favored by 10-plus points. Dallas is 2-1 ATS against Denver this season, including covering as an 11.5-point road underdog in a 131-121 victory on Dec. 1.
This is a massive total, but BET OVER 244.5 (-115) with defense being optional in this matchup.
Besides the Over being 3-0 in the first three meetings, the Mavericks have coughed up an average of 132.8 points across their last six contests. During its current 4-game losing streak, Dallas has surrendered 129 or more points in each game.
Along with the Nuggets being a league-best 45-28 to the Over, they are a league-best 30-13 to the Over against Western Conference foes. Denver is 21st in adjusted defensive rating (116.2), and this is a pace-up environment for the Nuggets, with Dallas ranking fifth in pace.
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