Updated:
Mar 30, 2026 , 01:19 PM ET
• 4 min read
Tomoyuki Sugano was hit hard and often in his MLB debut last season. That means we’re backing Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to do some damage tonight for the Blue Jays.
EXPERT PICK – PROP
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Read Analysis
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays third baseman Kazuma Okamoto (7) and first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27) celebrate a win over the Athletics.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a Colorado Rockies crusher throughout his Toronto Blue Jays career.
With Tomoyuki Sugano toeing the rubber for the visitors, my Blue Jays vs. Rockies predictions expect another big night from Vladito.
I explain further with my free MLB picks for Monday, March 30.
Rockies vs Blue Jays predictions
Rockies vs Blue Jays best bet: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases (-105)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a .361 career batting average against this current Colorado Rockies pitching staff, including going 3-for-7 with a double against Tomoyuki Sugano.
Guerrero has a .571 OBP and hasn’t struck out once to start the season, but is still looking for his first extra-base hit of the year.
Today’s matchup against Sugano offers an opportunity to correct that in a big way.
Sugano is a contact pitcher who is often hit hard. Guerrero nearly led the majors in xBA last season with a hard-hit rate in the 90th percentile.
That is a dangerous combination for a Rockies hurler who lives in the zone, misses zero bats, and never entices anyone to chase.
COVERS INTEL: Sugano is a strike thrower who pitches to contact, ranking in the fourth percentile in barrel rates and third in xBA and xERA in his first season in the majors.
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Rockies vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)
100ish words about the SGP analysis. The best bet DOES NOT need to be in the SGP.
Rockies vs Blue Jays SGP
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases
- Tomoyuki Sugano Over 2.5 runs
- Blue Jays -1.5
Rockies vs Blue Jays home run pick: Addison Barger (+425)
Sugano was prone to giving up hard contact last season, which resulted in 33 home runs allowed. Give me one of the Jays’ hardest hitters in the lineup, Addison Barger, to go yard today. The Jays slugger was 1-for-2 against Sugano last season with a homer, and hit 20 of his 21 long balls vs. right-handed pitchers.
2026 Transparency record
- Best bets: 1-1, +0.2 units
- SGPs: 1-1, +3.25 units
- HR picks: 1-1, +2.05 units
Rockies vs Blue Jays odds
- Moneyline: Colorado +230 | Toronto -290
- Run line: Colorado +2.5 (-135) | Toronto -2.5 (+115)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-115)
Rockies vs Blue Jays trend
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.05 Units / 46% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rockies vs. Blue Jays.
How to watch Rockies vs Blue Jays and game info
Location
Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date
Monday, March 30, 2026
First pitch
7:07 p.m. ET
TV
COLR, Sportsnet
Rockies starting pitcher
Tomoyuki Sugano
(2025: 10-10, 4.64 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher
Cody Ponce
(2025: 17-1, 1.89 ERA – KBO stats)
Rockies vs Blue Jays latest injuries
Rockies vs Blue Jays weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN’s flagship radio/tv show “OverDrive” as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.
A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.
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