Jason Logan
• Senior Betting Analyst
21+ years betting experience
Updated:
Apr 1, 2026 , 05:58 PM ET
• 4 min read
As the Final Four approaches, the College Basketball Crown gets underway in Las Vegas. Colorado will be shorthanded without three of its top four scorers, and more notably, its defensive length takes a hit. Jason Logan is backing a driven Sooners squad to take advantage in Sin City.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Nijel Pack drives to the hoop against South Carolina.
The Colorado Buffaloes can at least cut down on travel costs heading to Las Vegas, where they’ll meet the Oklahoma Sooners in the College Basketball Crown tonight.
But they’ll arrive severely undermanned. Three of their top four scorers have entered the transfer portal and won’t suit up for this postseason matchup.
Top scorer Isaiah Johnson, along with double-digit forwards Sebastian Rancik and Bangot Dak, are all out—stripping away 51% of Colorado’s offensive production. That absence has dramatically shifted the betting line, with the Sooners moving from -5.5 to 9-point favorites on a neutral floor.
Our Oklahoma vs. Colorado predictions and college basketball picks don’t believe those losses are being factored in enough.
Oklahoma vs Colorado prediction
Who will win Oklahoma vs Colorado?
Oklahoma: Even before the Colorado Buffaloes’ standouts bailed, the Oklahoma Sooners were forecasted with a 5-point winning margin. Given the state of this Buffaloes rotation, OU will pull away down the stretch and advance in Vegas.
Oklahoma vs Colorado best bet: Oklahoma -10 (-110)
On top of the MIA offensive contributions, the loss of Sebastian Rancik and Bangot Dak instantly shrinks Colorado’s interior. The Buffaloes lose two shot changers in the paint and their top rebounders.
The Sooners aren’t the biggest team, but are feisty on the glass, hauling in 10 offensive rebounds and generating 14.2 second-chance points per game. Oklahoma already held an edge in outside shooting and can really be a rim-and-three team against the Buffaloes’ makeshift rotation.
The Sooners’ shooting could be a little rusty out of the gate, given they haven’t played since the SEC tournament, but OU finished among the better 3-point teams and knocks down almost 10 triples a game.
Perhaps the biggest edge is Oklahoma’s desire to do well at the Crown. Head coach Porter Moser is using the Sooners’ NCAA Tournament snub as motivation, fueling what has been one of the hottest teams in the country (8-3 SU, 9-2 ATS last 11 games).
COVERS INTEL: Oklahoma’s furious finish saw the Sooners post an offensive rating of 126.9 in the final 10 games of the season — sixth highest in the country during that span. Oklahoma averaged more than 82 points per game in that stretch.
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Oklahoma vs Colorado same-game parlay
These teams haven’t played a real game in weeks and now travel to Las Vegas for the Crown. I expect some rust in the opening 20 minutes. The Buffaloes are missing more than half of their production, leaving second overall scorer Barrington Hargress with the green light.
Oklahoma vs Colorado SGP
- Oklahoma moneyline
- First half Under 78.5
- Barrington Hargress Over 19.5 points
Our beyond the arc SGP: Bright lights, big shooters
The Sooners take the court in Sin City with a chip on their shoulders after getting snubbed by the Selection Committee. Nijel Pack picks apart a soft Colorado defense while Hargress tries to keep Colorado competitive from beyond the arc.
Oklahoma vs Colorado SGP
- Oklahoma -10
- First half Under 78.5
- Nijel Pack Over 2.5 threes
- Barrington Hargress Over 1.5 threes
Oklahoma vs Colorado odds
- Spread: Oklahoma -10 | Colorado +10
- Moneyline: Oklahoma -450 | Colorado +350
- Over/Under: Over 166 | Under 166
Oklahoma vs Colorado betting trend to know
Oklahoma is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Oklahoma vs. Colorado.
How to watch Oklahoma vs Colorado
Location
MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Date
Wednesday, April 1, 2026
Tip-off
8:00 p.m. ET
TV
FS1
Oklahoma vs Colorado key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.
Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.
He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.
On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason’s analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.
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