Zach Thompson details his best player prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Wednesday’s matchup between the Spurs and the Warriors.
The NBA has nine games on the Wednesday slate to tip off the month of April. The schedule is built around a nice doubleheader on ESPN, and in the second game, the San Antonio Spurs visit the Golden State Warriors at 10:00 p.m. ET at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The Warriors beat the Spurs twice in San Antonio early in the season, but the Spurs beat the Warriors by 13 points when they played early in February. In their fourth matchup of the year, let’s break down both sides of the contest and find a few strong player prop bets to back.
In the bigger picture of the matchup, the Spurs are heavy 14.5-point road favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook, with an elevated game total of 227.5 points.
The Spurs have won nine straight and 14 of their last 15, and they have gone 25-2 since Feb. 1. They have improved to 57-18 on the season and are currently the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference. The Warriors are at the other end of the playoff picture at 36-39. They’re currently the No. 10 seed in the West and likely heading to the Play-In Tournament. Golden State is just 4-9 in its last 13 games and lost by 23 points on Sunday to the Nuggets after winning three straight.
For this matchup, the Spurs listed Luke Kornet and their G-League players as out, but the rest of the rotation is healthy. The Warriors listed Gary Payton II and Gui Santos as questionable while Steph Curry, Quinten Post, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody, De’Anthony Melton and Al Horford are all listed as out.
Spurs at Warriors Best Prop Bets
Victor Wembanyama 13+ Rebounds (+116)
Wemby is averaging 11.3 rebounds per game on the season, but he’s been regularly going over that average and over this alternate total in the Spurs’ recent run of dominance. With the Warriors listing so many key members of their frontcourt out for this matchup, he should dominate when he’s on the floor.
He only played 30 minutes against the Bulls on Monday but still went off for 41 points and 16 rebounds. He has at least 15 boards in four straight games, even though he has averaged only 28.5 minutes per game over that span.
In their matchup in Golden State in early February, Wembanyama only had nine rebounds in 33 minutes, but with his recent heavy load on the glass, he has a good chance to deliver at this plus-money prop even if he plays fewer minutes as the result of a blowout.
Brandin Podziemski 30+ Points + Rebounds + Assists (+105)
Without so many pieces available for Golden State on Wednesday, Podziemski will have to carry a huge workload. He’s averaging 22.4 PRA (points, rebounds and assists) on the season, but he has been regularly posting much larger totals over the last few weeks.
In his last 19 games, Podziemski has averaged 17.2 points, 7.3 rebounds and 4.5 assists for 29 PRA per game, and he has gone over this prop line in 11 of those 19 games, including each of his last four contests. Even in the blowout in Denver, he played 32 minutes and had 30 PRA with 23 points, five rebounds and a pair of assists. Without Melton and Moody, though, he could play more small forward on Wednesday, and when he has done that in the past, he has picked up his rebounding production.
Pod Racer has 20+ points and 30+ PRA in four straight, and with all the work he can handle coming his way on Wednesday night, he has a good shot to get over this PRA prop line again.
Dylan Harper o15.5 Points + Rebounds (-121)
On the season, the No. 2 pick from last year’s NBA Draft is averaging 15.2 Points + Rebounds per game. Recently, though, he has been getting extra playing time in blowout wins and also doing great work on the glass. In his last 13 games, he has averaged 13.8 points and 3.6 rebounds per contest while playing 23.5 minutes per game, coming off the bench in 11 of those 13 contests.
Harper had 14 points and five rebounds in the last meeting between these teams and has gone over this prop line in 11 of his 20 games dating back to that contest. He came up just short with exactly 15 points and rebounds in two of his last three games but still managed to go over it in six of his last 10, meaning he has at least 15 points and rebounds in eight of his last 10.
With a favorable matchup and the Warriors dealing with so many injuries, Harper has a good chance of getting extra minutes and reaching the over on this combo prop. Even if things do get lopsided, the Spurs often use those opportunities to get Harper extra usage and minutes.
Bonus Parlay Pick: Pat Spencer o2.5 rebounds (-161)
If you’re building an SGP (Same Game Parlay) for the Wednesday night finale, one way to boost the odds even higher is to take the over on Spencer’s rebounds. Adding this as the fourth player prop into the mix boosts the SGP all the way up to an even +1100 for these four Spurs-Warriors bets.
Spencer is only averaging 2.3 rebounds per game, but with Melton and Moody out, he’s going to be in an expanded role on Wednesday. The 29-year-old guard has gone over this prop in three straight games in a bigger role and pulled in five rebounds in each of his last two games. If you want to be more aggressive, taking his alternate at 4+ rebounds boosts this SGP up to +1700.
