Today is a high risk severe weather day. The potential for severe storms will increase this afternoon into this evening, and we are starting to get a better picture of where storms will develop.
A warm front will set up across the region today, roughly from near Redwood Falls through the Twin Cities into western Wisconsin. Areas south of that line, including much of southern Minnesota and northern Iowa, will be in the highest risk zone for severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center continues to highlight this area with a level 3 out of 5 risk for severe storms.
SPC Severe Risk Today
This image updates in real time as conditions change.
Thunderstorms are expected to develop sometime around or after 3pm, likely somewhere along or north of I-90, possibly as far north as Highway 14. For the first few hours this afternoon into early evening, storms will be more isolated supercells, which is when they are more likely to produce tornadoes and very large hail. As we move later into the evening, storms may begin to cluster together, and at that point the threat may shift more toward damaging wind gusts and heavy rain, while the risk for large hail continues.
There is potential for tornadoes with these storms, particularly with any storms that are able to stay close to the warm front. That will be the area to watch most closely for tornado development.
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An additional and potentially even more significant threat with today’s storms will be the possibility of very large hail. Some storms could produce hail as large as tennis balls or even larger.
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This is a day to stay weather aware. Check the forecast frequently and have multiple ways to receive warnings. Be sure to keep the KEYC First Alert weather app handy for real-time alerts, radar and updates from the weather team.
Most importantly, have your severe weather safety plan ready to rock and roll. Knowing where to go and what to do when warnings are issued can make all the difference.
The weather team will be monitoring this situation closely throughout the day and will provide updates as conditions develop.
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