The ATP Barcelona Open is typically the second significant stop on clay courts every season, as this field has proven to be stacked with top ATP Tour talent. LWOT previews Tuesday first round matches, with this set of predictions featuring No. 3 seed Alex de Minaur. Other predictions, featuring top seed Carlos Alcaraz, can be found on our predictions page.
ATP Barcelona Day 2 Predictions
Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego
Head-to-head: 1-0 Martinez
Martinez won the pair’s only meeting in 2025, on clay courts in Monte Carlo. The Spaniard qualified for the main draw here, while Sonego is making his return to the court following an injury. Martinez has put together a lackluster 2-7 record at tour-level this season, suggesting it could be a toss up. However, Sonego’s rustiness might prove to be the difference here.
Prediction: Martinez in 3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karen Khachanov
Head-to-head: First meeting
Carabelli tends to play his best tennis on clay courts, while Khachanov has particularly struggled with his form in 2026. At Carabelli’s most recent ATP 250 tournament in Morocco, he fell in the semifinals after winning just three games. Yet, he could be a stern test for Khachanov, especially with the Russian facing pressure as a defending Barcelona semifinalist. The Argentine is winless against Top 20 players, and Khachanov has a solid B-game that could succeed against an underexperienced opponent.
Prediction: Khachanov in 3
Alex de Minaur vs Sebastian Ofner
Head-to-head: 1-0 De Minaur
Barcelona is a regular stop on tour for de Minaur, who maintains a 8-5 record at the event. Notably, the Aussie is yet to reach an ATP Tour final on clay courts. While De Minaur was upset in the quarterfinals of the ATP 1000 event in Monte Carlo last week, he should be refreshed well enough to take out Ofner. De Minaur only lost four games in his sole 2024 win over Ofner, though Ofner did recently string together a 12-match winning streak, hoisting ATP Challenger Tour trophies earlier in 2026. The Aussie is skilled on clay courts, but will have to start strong against a confident opponent.
Prediction: de Minaur in 2
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
