2026 Mutua Madrid Open: Osorio Serrano [83rd] vs. Osaka [15th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In a match slated for Thursday, Naomi Osaka (No. 15 in rankings) will meet Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (No. 83) in the Round of 64 at the Mutua Madrid Open.

Osaka has -118 odds to earn a spot in the Round of 32 with a win over Osorio Serrano (-110).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 6:37 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs. Naomi Osaka matchup info

• Tournament: Mutua Madrid Open
• Round: Round of 64
• Date: Thursday, April 23
• Court Surface: Clay

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Osorio Serrano vs. Osaka Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Osorio Serrano has a 54.1% to win.

Osorio Serrano vs. Osaka Betting Odds

• Osorio Serrano’s odds to win match: -110
• Osaka’s odds to win match: -118

Osorio Serrano vs. Osaka matchup performance & stats

• Osorio Serrano is 4-5 on clay over the past 12 months.
• On clay, Osorio Serrano has won 56.3% of her service games and 44.3% of her return games over the past 12 months.
• Osorio Serrano has converted 46 of 90 break points on clay (51.1%) over the past 12 months and is 41st in break points won.
• Osorio Serrano was beaten in the Round of 16 of her last tournament (the Copa Colsanitas) 6-7, 6-7 by No. 206-ranked Jazmin Ortenzi on April 2.
• Osaka has registered a 3-2 record in two tournaments on clay over the past year.
• Osaka has a 73.5% winning percentage in service games on clay surfaces, and a 31.8% winning percentage in return games.
• On clay Osaka has won 47.6% of break points, 20 out of 42, which ranks 135th.
• In the Round of 64 of her last tournament (the Miami Open presented by Itau) on March 21, Osaka was eliminated by No. 68-ranked Talia Gibson 5-7, 4-6.

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