2026 Mutua Madrid Open: Norrie [23rd] vs. Machac [41st] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

On Friday, Tomas Machac (No. 41 in the world) meets Cameron Norrie (No. 23) in the Round of 64 at the Mutua Madrid Open.

Machac is the favorite against Norrie in this match, with -150 odds against the the underdog’s +118.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 10:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Cameron Norrie vs. Tomas Machac matchup info

• Tournament: Mutua Madrid Open
• Round: Round of 64
• Date: Friday, April 24
• Court Surface: Clay

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Norrie vs. Machac Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Norrie has a 60.0% to win.

Norrie vs. Machac Betting Odds

• Norrie’s odds to win match: +118
• Machac’s odds to win match: -150

Norrie vs. Machac matchup performance & stats

• Norrie has a match record of 3-2 on clay this year.
• While playing on clay surfaces, Norrie has a 71.4% winning percentage in service games and a 29.0% winning percentage in return games (50 service games won out of 70, and 20 return games won out of 69 on clay).
• On clay this year, Norrie has won 41.7% of break points (15 out of 36, to rank 38th).
• Norrie was defeated in the quarterfinals of his previous tournament (the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell) 3-6, 2-6 by No. 55-ranked Rafael Jodar on April 17.
• Machac has gone 4-3 in three tournaments on clay this year.
• On clay, Machac has won 64.5% of his service games and 29.7% of his return games.
• Machac has converted 19 of 39 break points on clay (48.7%), and is 28th in break points won.
• In the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell, Machac’s last tournament, he squared off against No. 15-ranked Andrey Rublev in the quarterfinals on April 17 and lost 4-6, 3-6.

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