2026 Mutua Madrid Open: Tirante [75th] vs. Paul [18th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

On Friday, Tommy Paul (No. 18 in the world) meets Thiago Agustin Tirante (No. 75) in the Round of 64 at the Mutua Madrid Open.

Paul is favored over Tirante for this match, with -250 odds compared to the underdog’s +190.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 10:36 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Tommy Paul matchup info

• Tournament: Mutua Madrid Open
• Round: Round of 64
• Date: Friday, April 24
• Court Surface: Clay

Watch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo!

Tirante vs. Paul Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Tirante has a 71.4% to win.

Tirante vs. Paul Betting Odds

• Tirante’s odds to win match: +190
• Paul’s odds to win match: -250

Tirante vs. Paul matchup performance & stats

• In six tournaments on clay over the past year, Tirante has gone 9-7.
• Tirante has won 78.1% of his service games on clay over the past year and 27.0% of his return games.
• Tirante has converted 44.4% of his break-point opportunities on clay (40 of 90) over the past year.
• In the the Fayez Sarofim & Co. US Men’s Clay Court Championship, Tirante’s previous tournament, he was defeated in the semifinals 1-6, 1-6 by No. 77-ranked Roman Andres Burruchaga on April 4.
• Paul has won one tournament on clay over the past year, posting a 14-3 record on that surface.
• Paul is 184-for-239 in service games on clay surfaces (winning 77.0%) and 72-for-238 in return games (30.3%).
• Paul has claimed 50.8% of break points on clay surfaces (62 out of 122) which ranks 13th.
• Paul was the last one standing in his last tournament, the Fayez Sarofim & Co. US Men’s Clay Court Championship, as he advanced to the title match and defeated No. 77-ranked Burruchaga 6-1, 3-6, 7-5 on April 5.

This content was created for USA TODAY CO. using technology provided by Data Skrive.