2026 Mutua Madrid Open: Sierra [88th] vs. Pliskova [197th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In a match scheduled for Monday, Karolina Pliskova (No. 197 in rankings) will meet Solana Sierra (No. 88) in the Round of 16 at the Mutua Madrid Open.

Pliskova has -160 odds to claim a win in this match versus Sierra (+125).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 6:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Solana Sierra vs. Karolina Pliskova matchup info

• Tournament: Mutua Madrid Open
• Round: Round of 16
• Date: Monday, April 27
• Court Surface: Clay

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Sierra vs. Pliskova Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Sierra has a 61.5% to win.

Sierra vs. Pliskova Betting Odds

• Sierra’s odds to win match: +125
• Pliskova’s odds to win match: -160
• Sierra’s odds to win tournament: +1000
• Pliskova’s odds to win tournament: +600

Sierra vs. Pliskova matchup performance & stats

• Sierra has a record of 3-3 on clay over the last 12 months.
• On clay, Sierra has won 58.9% of her service games and 43.6% of her return games over the past year.
• Sierra has converted 23 of 45 break points on clay (51.1%) over the past 12 months and is 113th in break points won.
• In her previous tournament, the Credit One Charleston Open, Sierra lost in the Round of 64 to No. 273-ranked Akasha Urhobo, 5-7, 0-3 on March 30.
• The 34-year-old Pliskova, who is seeking her first tournament win on clay in 2026, is 2-1 over the past 12 months on that surface.
• Pliskova has a 75.9% winning percentage in service games while playing on clay surfaces, and a 37.9% winning percentage in return games.
• On clay courts Pliskova has won 55.0% of break points, 11 out of 20, to rank 199th.
• In the quarterfinal of her previous tournament (the Upper Austria Ladies Linz) on April 10, Pliskova was taken down by No. 104-ranked Donna Vekic 5-7, 4-6.

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