2026 Mutua Madrid Open: Mensik [27th] vs. Zverev [3rd] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

Jakub Mensik (No. 27 ranking) will meet Alexander Zverev (No. 3) in the Round of 16 of the Mutua Madrid Open on Tuesday, April 28.

Zverev has -225 odds to earn a spot in the quarterfinals over Mensik (+175).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 2:35 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev matchup info

• Tournament: Mutua Madrid Open
• Round: Round of 16
• Date: Tuesday, April 28
• Court Surface: Clay

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Mensik vs. Zverev Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Mensik has a 69.2% to win.

Mensik vs. Zverev Betting Odds

• Mensik’s odds to win match: +175
• Zverev’s odds to win match: -225

Mensik vs. Zverev matchup performance & stats

• Mensik is 4-3 on clay over the past year.
• Mensik has won 82.5% of his service games on clay over the past year and 23.6% of his return games.
• On clay over the past 12 months, Mensik has converted 20 of 54 break points (37.0%).
• In his last tournament (the Miami Open presented by Itau), Mensik lost to Frances Tiafoe 6-7, 6-4, 6-7 on March 23, in the Round of 32.
• Zverev is 14-6 in six tournaments on clay over the past year.
• Zverev has a 79.4% winning percentage in service games on clay, and a 34.6% winning percentage in return games.
• On clay courts Zverev is 10th in break point winning percentage (50.7%) after going 70-for-138.
• In his last tournament (the BMW Open) on April 18, Zverev played Flavio Cobolli in the semifinals and was taken down 3-6, 3-6.

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