Todd Cordell
• Betting Analyst
12+ years betting experience
Updated:
May 10, 2026 , 04:20 PM ET
• 3 min read
Cordell’s prediction: Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield put the Habs up on the Sabres.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Montreal Canadiens right wing Cole Caufield (13) looks on beside center Nick Suzuki (14) against the Tampa Bay Lightning
Two of the biggest reasons for the Montreal Canadiens’ resurrection are Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield, and they will live up to their budding reputations against the Buffalo Sabres tonight.
My Sabres vs. Canadiens predictions are bullish on the duo as Montreal looks to go up in this key clash.
I explain further with my full NHL picks for Game 3 on Sunday, May 10.
- UPDATE: Added a prediction for who will win tonight.
Sabres vs Canadiens Game 3 prediction tonight
Who will win Sabres vs Canadiens Game 3?
Canadiens: The Canadiens earned a split on the road and outscored the Sabres by a pair at 5-on-5, despite zero production from star Cole Caufield. He won’t stay quiet forever, and I see him leading the charge in Game 3.
Sabres vs Canadiens best bet: Nick Suzuki Over 0.5 assists (-135)
The Montreal Canadiens have generated 5.88 expected goals with Nick Suzuki on the ice over the last four games. That translated to four goals (-1.88 below expectation), and the captain didn’t pick up an assist on any of them.
That’s highly unusual, as Suzuki recorded an assist on 49.3% of the goals he was on for during the regular season. He also picked up a helper in 62% of all games, and last went more than four straight without one in October.
With linemates Juraj Slafkovsky and Cole Caufield set for positive shooting regression, Suzuki is well-positioned to bounce back.
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Sabres vs Canadiens Game 3 same-game parlay
Caufield’s success goes hand in hand with Suzuki’s. The two are attached to the hip at 5-on-5 and on the top power play unit, and one doesn’t usually produce without the other. Suzuki has an assist in nine of the past 10 games in which Caufield recorded at least one point.
Noah Dobson has recorded seven shots on 11 attempts through the first two games of this series. He sees a lot of offensive zone faceoffs, and Montreal has a big edge in the dot, leading to easy shooting opportunities off draws.
Sabres vs Canadiens SGP
- Nick Suzuki Over 0.5 assists
- Cole Caufield Over 0.5 points
- Noah Dobson Over 1.5 shots on goal
Sabres vs Canadiens Game 3 goal scorer pick
Cole Caufield (+165)
Montreal’s star sniper scored just once over the past eight games despite generating 18 chances. His shooting percentage during that stretch (7.14%) was barely more than half his career rate (14.20%), a sign the tide should turn sooner than later.
Sabres vs Canadiens odds for Game 3
- Moneyline: Sabres +105 | Canadiens -125
- Puck Line: Sabres +1.5 (-240) | Canadiens -1.5 (+195)
- Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-130) | Under 5.5 (+110)
Sabres vs Canadiens trend
Nick Suzuki has recorded 11 assists over his last 12 home games. Find more NHL betting trends for Sabres vs. Canadiens.
How to watch Sabres vs Canadiens Game 3
Location
Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
Date
Sunday, May 10, 2026
Puck drop
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
Sportsnet, ESPN
Sabres vs Canadiens latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.
When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.
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