A few notes:
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The Eagles are the only NFC East team with negative net rest
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The Cowboys and Commanders 10+ net rest differential puts them in the top 20 this century
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The Eagles -15 is the 18th worst this century (the worst is the 2012 Eagles)
I don’t think anyone would argue this doesn’t matter at all, though there is debate about how much it does matter. The best data we have comes from betting and point spreads (numbers don’t include last season):
Over the last decade, teams with a three to six day rest edge and not off a full bye have covered 53.6% of games in 308 games played.
From Week 6 onward, that edge increases to a cover rate of 54.9%.
In the last 10 years, since 2014, teams playing short week (less than 6 days rest) road games have won 42.9% of games and covered just 48.3%.
Meanwhile, when those same road teams play with extra rest (over 6 days) instead of short rest, they have won 47.9% of games and have covered a whopping 54.7%
Also worth noting that success coming out of a bye has declined since the 2011 CBA that added mandatory rest days.
h/t chart is from @ArifHasanNFL on Twitter
