The Cincinnati Reds (24-24) and Philadelphia Phillies (25-23) play the middle game of a 3-game series Tuesday in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze MLB odds around the Reds vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 1-0
The Phillies kept rolling Monday night, winning their fifth straight game with a 5-4 victory over the Reds as a -124 home favorite with Under (9.5) hitting. 2B Bryson Stott delivered the big moment with a go-ahead 2-run HR in the eighth inning. 1B Alec Bohm also homered, his third this month.
The Reds dropped their third straight game despite getting offense from 1B Sal Stewart, who went 2 for 4 with a HR and 2 runs scored, RF Spencer Steer, who added an RBI double. SP Nick Lodolo (5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 3 K, 1 HR) remained winless on the season.
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Reds at Phillies projected starters
RHP Chase Burns vs. LHP Jesús Luzardo
Burns (5-1, 1.87 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 18 BB and 55 K in 53 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 15-1 home victory vs. Washington Nationals Thursday
- Only start vs. Phillies: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 7 K in 3-1 road loss July 6, 2025
- 2026 road splits: 1-0, 1.45 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 in 3 starts
Luzardo (3-3, 5.07 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 49 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-1 victory against the Boston Red Sox Thursday
- Career vs. Reds: 1-2, 4.85 ERA (13 IP, 7 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 11.8 K/9 in 3 starts
- 2026 home splits: 1-3, 8.31 ERA (26 IP, 24 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 in 5 starts
Reds at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +118 (bet $100 to win $118) | Phillies -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-175) | Phillies -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Reds at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 5, Reds 3
The Phillies feel tough to fade right now with the way they’re playing. Philadelphia has won 5 straight games and outscored opponents 31-14 during that run. Meanwhile, the Reds are going the other direction with 3 straight losses while getting outscored 22-11.
The Reds pitching staff has also been struggling lately, allowing at least 5 runs in 4 straight games. Even if Cincinnati might have the slight edge on the mound on paper, it’s hard not to trust the Phillies offense more right now. The bats are rolling, the lineup is producing in big spots, and they’re finding ways to win close games too.
The moneyline odds aren’t amazing, but Philadelphia feels like a really solid piece to throw into a parlay Tuesday night.
BET PHILLIES (-145).
If you want a little more value Tuesday, consider Philadelphia’s run line. The Phillies have won 5 straight, and 7 of their last 9 wins have come by multiple runs. Meanwhile, the Reds have lost 3 straight, with 4 of their last 6 losses coming by at least 2 runs.
BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+145).
The Under feels pretty solid Tuesday. The Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams, and the Phillies have also cashed it in 7 of their last 8 games. Luzardo has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 4 of his last 5 starts too.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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