Today’s Lineups
DIAMONDBACKS
MARLINS
Ketel Marte – 2B
Liam Hicks – DH
Corbin Carroll – RF
Otto Lopez – SS
Gabriel Moreno – C
Kyle Stowers – LF
Nolan Arenado – 3B
Xavier Edwards – 2B
Pavin Smith – DH
Leo Jimenez – 3B
Geraldo Perdomo – SS
Owen Caissie – RF
Ryan Waldschmidt – CF
Jakob Marsee – CF
LuJames Groover – 1B
Joe Mack – C
Tommy Troy – LF
Connor Norby – 1B
Zac Gallen – RHP
Max Meyer – RHP
Back onto the East coast go the Diamondbacks, starting in Miami for a road-trip which will see them come back to Phoenix by way of Cincinnati. While the Marlins are below the D-backs in the standings, it’s the result of a rather unusual split in the fishes’ record. They are actually better against teams at or above .500, than against opponents with losing records. Miami have gone 19-19 for the former, but only 12-16 against the latter. They have taken series from the Dodgers – on the road, no less – and the Cardinals, and split six games with their Florida siblings, the AL East leading Rays. But they were swept by Detroit, and lost to both Minnesota and Baltimore.
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I took a look at the overall standings. Unsurprisingly, most teams do better against weaker opponents. The average win percentage is 124 points better against teams below .500 (.438 vs. 561 – and before you ask, rounding). The Marlins are 71 points worse. The only team with a bigger gap in that direction are the Rangers: they are 19-14 against winning teams, but 14-19 facing losing ones, a whopping 170-point reverse split over what’d be expected. And the team with the largest split on the other side? Well, that would be your Arizona Diamondbacks.
Right now, the D-backs are 11-23 versus opponents at or above .500. That’s exactly the same record as the woeful Angels, who are dead-last in the AL West, and only three teams have a worse win percentage. But against losing teams? 23-8, the best record in the majors. All told, that’s a massive split of 418 points: .324 vs .742. With the Marlins guaranteed to be below .500 for the entire duration of the series, we’re hoping that’s trend which will continue – on our side of the ball at least. If the Marlins want to cool off against winning teams through Thursday, that would be very much appreciated.
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