Updated:
Jul 7, 2026 , 07:06 PM ET
• 4 min read
The Sky are trapped in a total downward spiral right now. The absolute last thing that will fix their fractured locker room is a road trip to face a red-hot Kahleah Copper and a surging Mercury squad.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Phoenix Mercury guard Kahleah Copper (2) celebrates a call.
The wheels have officially come off for the Chicago Sky. Just when a six-game road losing skid seemed like rock bottom, the team blindsided seven-time All-Star Skylar Diggins by moving her to the bench—prompting the veteran guard to instantly put the organization on blast over social media.
Meanwhile, it’s smooth sailing for the Phoenix Mercury. Riding a hot three-game winning streak, Phoenix looks to secure a fourth straight victory as they welcome a deeply dysfunctional, chaotic Sky squad to the Mortgage Matchup Center tonight.
Much of the Mercury’s recent surge comes down to one thing: Kahleah Copper is absolutely torching the competition. Unsurprisingly, she headlines our best WNBA picks and Sky vs. Mercury predictions for Tuesday, July 7.
- UPDATE: Added DeWanna Bonner prop!
Sky vs Mercury prediction
Sky vs Mercury best bet: Kahleah Copper Over 23.5 points + rebounds (+102)
Kahleah Copper is on an absolute tear for the Phoenix Mercury, averaging a blistering 26.3 points over her last four games by clearing this 23.5 points + rebounds line on raw scoring alone.
Beyond her elite bucket-getting, the 6’1″ wing utilizes her explosive athleticism to crash the glass, logging a heavy 31.8 minutes per game to chase down long rebounds and ignite the fast break.
Averaging a massive 30.1 combined points and rebounds recently, Copper faces a reeling, chaotic Chicago Sky squad surrendering a league-worst 90 points a night. Her sheer offensive volume makes this line a gift.
Hammer the Over & play this straight up.
COVERS INTEL: Over their last 10 games, the Mercury rank in the top seven in defensive rating, finding real stability. Meanwhile, the Sky rank dead last (12th) in overall defensive rating, completely cratering to a miserable 111.5 defensive rating over their last five games.
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Sky vs Mercury same-game parlay
Skylar Diggins riding the pine means Chicago’s offense is bound to be a clunky mess early. The silver lining?
All those inefficient, broken possessions mean a high volume of bricks which practically gifts Kamilla Cardoso the Over on 8.5 rebounds.
Sky fans need something to look forward to, right?
Unfortunately, that’s where the good news ends. Trying to patch up a public internal rift while facing a red-hot team on the road is a recipe for disaster.
Take the Mercury to pile onto Chicago’s misery tonight.
Sky vs Mercury SGP
- Kahleah Copper Over 23.5 points + rebounds
- Kamilla Cardoso Over 8.5 rebounds
- Mercury moneyline
Sky vs Mercury player prop pick
DeWanna Bonner Over 1.5 threes (+102)
With Kahleah Copper drawing massive defensive attention, the Mercury’s secondary options are locked into wide-open looks.
DeWanna Bonner stands to benefit immensely from a chaotic Chicago defense forced to aggressively collapse inside to help Kamilla Cardoso stop Copper’s explosive drives.
The steady veteran is coming off a forgettable six-point performance against Seattle where she went 0-of-5 from deep. Trust the veteran to flush that dud down the drain and bounce back with a vengeance.
When the Sky pack the paint tonight, expect Bonner to be waiting on the perimeter to make them pay.
Aisha Quiñones’ 2026 Transparency Record
- Best bet: 0-0, +0.0 units
- SGP: 0-0, +0.0 units
- Player prop: 0-0, +0.0 units
Sky vs Mercury odds
- Spread: Chicago +3.5 (-115) | Phoenix -3.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Chicago +130 | Phoenix -155
- Over/Under: Over 172.5 (-110) | Under 172.5 (-110)
Sky vs Mercury trend
The Phoenix Mercury have won nine out of the last 10 head-to-head matchups against the Chicago Sky. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Sky vs Mercury
Location
Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date
Tuesday, July 7, 2026
Tip-off
10:00 p.m. ET
TV
WCIU, KPHE
Sky vs Mercury latest injuries
Sky: DiJonai Carrington (foot) & Rickea Jackson (knee) ruled out.
Mercury: Natasha Mack (foot) & Sami Whitcomb (knee) ruled out.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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