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UFC Belgrade: Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez continues on the prelims with a fight between Bogdan Grad and Dennis Buzukja in the featherweight division. Check out our UFC Belgrade odds series for our Grad-Buzukja prediction and pick.
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Bogdan Grad (15-4) comes into UFC Belgrade stumbling on a two-fight skid. He was knocked out in just 30 seconds by Luke Riley in November 2025, following a unanimous-decision loss to Muhammad Naimov earlier that year, as he comes into his fight this weekend against Dennis Buzukja.
Dennis Buzukja (12-6) enters UFC Belgrade with his momentum is trending the wrong way after back-to-back losses. He was knocked out in the first round by Marcio Barbosa this past April, following a split-decision loss to Francis Marshall, as he comes into his fight this weekend against Bogdan Grad.
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UFC Belgrade Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
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UFC Belgrade Odds: Bogdan Grad-Dennis Buzukja Odds
Bogdan Grad: -198
Dennis Buzukja: +164
Over 2.5 rounds: -145
Under 2.5 rounds: +114
Why Bogdan Grad Will Win
Bogdan Grad’s superior power and finishing instincts should give him the edge over a similarly slumping Dennis Buzukja at UFC Belgrade. Grad has finished nine of his 15 career wins by knockout, and his most recent victory came via second-round TKO over Lucas Alexander, showing his power carries into deeper rounds.
Buzukja, by contrast, was recently finished in the first round by Marcio Barbosa, raising real concerns about his chin against heavy hitters like Grad. That kind of quick knockout loss suggests Buzukja may be there to be hit, and Grad’s clinch-heavy Muay Thai style is built to exploit exactly that.
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While both featherweights are trying to snap losing skids, Grad’s superior finishing rate and recent power display make him the more dangerous man in the cage. Expect Grad to press forward early, using his clinch work to set up the kind of finish that has defined most of his career wins.
Why Dennis Buzukja Will Win
Dennis Buzukja has a real path to victory over Bogdan Grad if he can weather the Austrian’s early power and drag the fight into deeper territory. Buzukja’s career includes six wins by decision, showing he’s comfortable grinding out rounds rather than needing a quick finish.
Grad, meanwhile, has been finished himself in two of his last two fights, including a brutal 30-second knockout loss to Luke Riley, proving his own chin is very much in question. If Buzukja can survive Grad’s opening flurries the way he’s done before, he could expose the same durability issues that have plagued Grad’s recent skid.
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Buzukja also brings genuine finishing power of his own, with five of his 12 wins coming by knockout and another by submission, giving him more than one way to close the show. His third-round TKO finish of Connor Matthews shows he can find something extra late in a fight, a trait Grad hasn’t displayed in his losses.
Both men are desperate to snap losing streaks, but Buzukja’s varied skill set and recent power flashes give him a legitimate chance to spring the upset. If he can weather Grad’s early aggression, Buzukja’s own finishing ability could turn the tide in the later rounds.
Final Bogdan Grad-Dennis Buzukja Prediction & Pick
This featherweight bout between two fighters searching for answers should be a close one, but Bogdan Grad’s power and finishing rate give him a slight analytical edge, with models favoring him around 55-56%. Grad’s clinch-heavy Muay Thai style should let him control range early and look for the kind of finish that has defined nine of his 15 career wins.
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Dennis Buzukja’s chin is a real question mark after getting knocked out by Marcio Barbosa in April, and Grad has shown he can capitalize on openings quickly. Still, if Buzukja survives the early exchanges, his own power and decision-making could keep this competitive into the third round.
Expect Grad to press the action and find a finish somewhere in round two, snapping his own losing skid at Buzukja’s expense in Belgrade.
Final Bogdan Grad-Dennis Buzukja Prediction & Pick: Bogdan Grad (-198); UNDER 2.5 Rounds (+114)
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