Entertainment US

October’s Leading Films and Performance

A NOTE FROM SCOTT For those of us who cover awards season, the month of September felt like a bombardment — of films, festivals and flacks fighting for attention for their clients. But now that we have emerged into October, I must say that I feel a slight sense of relief, having screened the vast majority of awards hopefuls and gathered a pretty good sense of the landscape.

Since our last update, Paul Thomas Anderson’s One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) was released in theaters and began dominating the awards conversation. With rave reviews (it is at 95 percent on Rotten Tomatoes) and promising grosses (it has already crossed the $100 million mark worldwide), if also a high bar to actually become profitable (its budget, pre-marketing, was apparently $130 million), it is now neck-and-neck with — and probably even slightly ahead of — Hamnet (Focus), Sinners (Warners) and Sentimental Value (Neon) at the top of the best picture race.

In other developments, The Testament of Ann Lee found a U.S. distributor, powerhouse Searchlight, and has the potential to shake things up in a number of categories, not least best actress — which feels like the most fluid of the four acting categories — with Amanda Seyfried. The big question mark for that category is whether or not One Battle’s breakout Chase Infiniti will be campaigned for it; I think she could contend there, and moving her out of the supporting actress race would improve the nomination prospects for her costars Regina Hall and Teyana Taylor. Warner Bros. has not yet made a final call on categories, but for the purposes of the forecast below, I am working on the assumption that that’s what they will end up doing.

This past weekend at the box office, The Smashing Machine (A24), which was made for $40 million, debuted wide and hit some turbulence, grossing just $6 million, the least of any film in which Dwayne Johnson has played a leading role. (The release of Taylor Swift: The Official Release Party of a Showgirl certainly didn’t help, although I’m not sure how much overlap there really is between the audiences for the two.) But having been in attendance at Smashing Machine’s official Academy screening in LA (I moderated the Q&A), which was far better attended than most other recent member screenings (with the exception of One Battle After Another), my sense is that Johnson and supporting actress Emily Blunt’s prospects remain strong.

Meanwhile, on the east coast, the New York Film Festival is chugging along. It opened on Sept. 26 with the North American premiere of After the Hunt (Amazon/MGM), which fell rather flat (it’s at 51 percent on RT). The fest later hosted the world premiere of Anemone (Focus), which marks the return to the screen of Daniel Day-Lewis, and was lauded primarily for the three-time Oscar winner’s performance (it’s at just 57 percent on RT); the world premiere of Ben Stiller’s doc about his late parents, Stiller & Meara: Nothing Is Lost (Apple); the North American premiere of Kathryn Bigelow’s A House of Dynamite (Netflix), which was warmly received (it’s at a solid 85 percent on RT); and the New York premiere of Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century), excitement around which was boosted by the attendance of — and a performance by — Bruce Springsteen himself.

NYFF will close on Friday with the world premiere of Bradley Cooper‘s Is This Thing On? (Searchlight) — but first, tonight, the fest will host “a secret screening of a highly anticipated new film,” which, I understand, could have even greater award season implications. Stay tuned!

PLEASE REMEMBER: Scott’s forecasts do not necessarily reflect his personal preferences. His aim is not to advocate for what he thinks the members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences should do, but rather to project what they will do. He arrives at his projections by screening many films, analyzing their campaigns, speaking with voters and studying relevant history and stats.

  • Best Picture

    Image Credit: Neon

    Frontrunners
    One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
    Hamnet (Focus)
    Sinners (Warner Bros.)
    Sentimental Value (Neon)
    The Secret Agent (Neon)
    It Was Just An Accident (Neon)
    Bugonia (Focus)
    A House of Dynamite (Netflix)
    Jay Kelly (Netflix)
    Train Dreams (Netflix)

    Major Threats
    Weapons (Warner Bros.)
    No Other Choice (Neon)
    Nuremberg (Sony Classics)
    Roofman (Paramount)
    Rental Family (Searchlight)
    Nouvelle Vague (Netflix)

    Possibilities
    The Smashing Machine (A24)
    Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century)
    F1 (Apple/Warner Bros.)
    Dead Man’s Wire (Row K)
    Hedda (Amazon/MGM)

    Long Shots
    Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)
    The Life of Chuck (Neon)
    Frankenstein (Netflix)
    Highest 2 Lowest (A24)
    Materialists (A24)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century)
    Ella McCay (20th Century)
    Is This Thing On? (Searchlight)
    Marty Supreme (A24)
    The Testament of Ann Lee (Searchlight)
    Wicked: For Good (Universal)

  • Best Director

    Image Credit: Courtesy of Netflix

    Frontrunners
    Paul Thomas Anderson for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
    Chloé Zhao for Hamnet (Focus)
    Ryan Coogler for Sinners (Warner Bros.)
    Joachim Trier for Sentimental Value (Neon)
    Kleber Mendonça Filho for The Secret Agent (Neon)

    Major Threats
    Jafar Panahi for It Was Just an Accident (Neon)
    Park Chan-wook for No Other Choice (Neon)
    Yorgos Lanthimos for Bugonia (Focus)
    Kathryn Bigelow for A House of Dynamite (Netflix)
    Noah Baumbach for Jay Kelly (Netflix)
    Clint Bentley for Train Dreams (Netflix)

    Possibilities
    Richard Linklater for Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) — podcast
    Zach Cregger for Weapons (Warner Bros.)
    Derek Cianfrance for Roofman (Paramount)
    Benny Safdie for The Smashing Machine (A24)
    Scott Cooper for Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century)
    James Vanderbilt for Nuremberg (Sony Classics)
    Guillermo del Toro for Frankenstein (Netflix) — podcast 1 and 2

    Long Shots
    Joseph Kosinski for F1 (Apple/Warner Bros.)
    Gus Van Sant for Dead Man’s Wire (Row K)
    Spike Lee for Highest 2 Lowest (A24) — podcast
    Hikari for Rental Family (Searchlight)
    Nia DaCosta for Hedda (Amazon/MGM)
    Rian Johnson for Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Story (Netflix)
    Celine Song for Materialists (A24) — podcast

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    James L. Brooks for Ella McCay (20th Century)
    James Cameron for Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century)
    Jon M. Chu for Wicked: For Good (Universal)
    Bradley Cooper for Is This Thing On? (Searchlight)
    Josh Safdie for Marty Supreme (A24)

  • Best Actor

    Image Credit: Courtesy of Searchlight


    Frontrunners
    Wagner Moura for The Secret Agent (Neon)
    Michael B. Jordan for Sinners (Warner Bros.) — podcast
    Leonardo DiCaprio for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
    Jesse Plemons for Bugonia (Focus) — podcast
    George Clooney for Jay Kelly (Netflix) — podcast

    Major Threats
    Joel Edgerton for Train Dreams (Netflix) — podcast
    Daniel Day-Lewis for Anemone (Focus)
    Dwayne Johnson for The Smashing Machine (A24)
    Channing Tatum for Roofman (Paramount)
    Jeremy Allen White for Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century)
    Toni Servillo for La Grazia (Mubi)
    Ethan Hawke for Blue Moon (Sony Classics) — podcast

    Possibilities
    Brendan Fraser for Rental Family (Searchlight) — podcast
    Lee Byung-hun for No Other Choice (Neon)
    Rami Malek for Nuremberg (Sony Classics) — podcast
    Russell Crowe for Nuremberg (Sony Classics)
    Bill Skarsgård for Dead Man’s Wire (Row K)
    Oscar Isaac for Frankenstein (Netflix) — podcast
    Colin Farrell for Ballad of a Small Player (Netflix) — podcast

    Long Shots
    Josh O’Connor for Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)
    Denzel Washington for Highest 2 Lowest (A24) — podcast
    Brad Pitt for F1 (Apple/Warner Bros.)
    Tonatiuh Elizarraraz for Kiss of the Spider Woman (Roadside)
    Cillian Murphy for Steve (Netflix) — podcast
    Tom Hiddleston for The Life of Chuck (Neon) — podcast
    Matthew McConaughey for The Lost Bus (Apple) — podcast

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Will Arnett for Is This Thing On? (Searchlight)
    Timothée Chalamet for Marty Supreme (A24) — podcast
    Hugh Jackman for Song Sung Blue (Focus) — podcast

  • Best Actress

    Image Credit: Courtesy of Vertical

    Frontrunners
    Jessie Buckley for Hamnet (Focus)
    Renate Reinsve for Sentimental Value (Neon)
    Chase Infiniti for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
    Emma Stone for Bugonia (Focus) — podcast
    Jennifer Lawrence for Die My Love (Mubi) — podcast

    Major Threats
    Sydney Sweeney for Christy (Black Bear) — podcast
    Rose Byrne for If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (A24)
    June Squibb for Eleanor the Great (Sony Classics)
    Jodie Foster for A Private Life (Sony Classics) — podcast

    Possibilities
    Julia Roberts for After the Hunt (Amazon/MGM) — podcast
    Tessa Thompson for Hedda (Amazon/MGM)
    Eva Victor for Sorry, Baby (A24)
    Felicity Jones for Train Dreams (Netflix)

    Long Shots
    Lucy Liu for Rosemead (Vertical) — podcast
    Julia Garner for Weapons (Warner Bros.) — podcast
    Dakota Johnson for Materialists (A24) — podcast
    Arienne Mandi for Tatami (Flawless)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Laura Dern for Is This Thing On? (Searchlight)
    Cynthia Erivo for Wicked: For Good (Universal) — podcast
    Kate Hudson for Song Sung Blue (Focus) — podcast
    Emma Mackey for Ella McCay (20th Century)
    Amanda Seyfried for The Testament of Ann Lee (Searchlight) — podcast 1 and 2

  • Best Supporting Actor

    Image Credit: Courtesy of Warner Bros. Pictures

    Frontrunners
    Stellan Skarsgård for Sentimental Value (Neon) — podcast
    Sean Penn for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) — podcast
    Adam Sandler for Jay Kelly (Netflix) — podcast
    Paul Mescal for Hamnet (Focus)
    Benicio Del Toro for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) — podcast

    Major Threats
    Billy Crudup for Jay Kelly (Netflix)
    William H. Macy for Train Dreams (Netflix)
    Jeremy Strong for Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century) — podcast
    Mark Hamill for The Life of Chuck (Neon) — podcast
    Miles Caton for Sinners (Warner Bros.)
    Jack O’Connell for Sinners (Warner Bros.)
    Delroy Lindo for Sinners (Warner Bros.) — podcast

    Possibilities
    Jacob Elordi for Frankenstein (Netflix)
    Michael Shannon for Nuremberg (Sony Classics) — podcast
    Leo Woodall for Nuremberg (Sony Classics)
    Ben Foster for Christy (Black Bear)
    Andrew Garfield for After the Hunt (Amazon/MGM) — podcast

    Long Shots
    Idris Elba for A House of Dynamite (Netflix)
    Tracy Letts for A House of Dynamite (Netflix)
    Sean Bean for Anemone (Focus)
    Diego Luna for Kiss of the Spider Woman (Roadside) — podcast
    Pedro Pascal for Materialists (A24)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Jonathan Bailey for Wicked: For Good (Universal)
    Albert Brooks for Ella McCay (20th Century)
    Bradley Cooper for Is This Thing On? (Searchlight)
    Woody Harrelson for Ella McCay (20th Century)
    Jack Lowden for Ella McCay (20th Century)

  • Best Supporting Actress

    Image Credit: Courtesy of Warner Bros.

    Frontrunners
    Amy Madigan for Weapons (Warner Bros.)
    Elle Fanning for Sentimental Value (Neon) — podcast
    Regina Hall for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
    Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas for Sentimental Value (Neon)
    Teyana Taylor for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)

    Major Threats
    Hailee Steinfeld for Sinners (Warner Bros.) — podcast
    Emily Blunt for The Smashing Machine (A24) — podcast
    Jennifer Lopez for Kiss of the Spider Woman (Roadside) — podcast
    Kirsten Dunst for Roofman (Paramount) — podcast
    Kerry Condon for Train Dreams (Netflix)

    Possibilities
    Nina Hoss for Hedda (Amazon/MGM)
    Zoey Deutch for Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) — podcast
    Wunmi Mosaku for Sinners (Warner Bros.)
    Odessa Young for Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century)
    Ayo Edebiri for After the Hunt (Amazon/MGM)
    Emily Watson for Hamnet (Focus)

    Long Shots
    Rebecca Ferguson for A House of Dynamite (Netflix)
    Laura Dern for Jay Kelly (Netflix)
    Mia Goth for Frankenstein (Netflix)
    Samantha Morton for Anemone (Focus)
    Milvia Marigliano for La Grazia (Mubi)
    Tânia Maria for The Secret Agent (Neon)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Odessa A’zion for Marty Supreme (A24)
    Jamie Lee Curtis for Ella McCay (20th Century)
    Ariana Grande for Wicked: For Good (Universal) — podcast
    Gwyneth Paltrow for Marty Supreme (A24)
    Sigourney Weaver for Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century)

  • Best Adapted Screenplay

    Image Credit: Courtesy of Focus

    Frontrunners
    Hamnet (Focus) — Chloé Zhao
    One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) — Paul Thomas Anderson
    Bugonia (Focus) — Will Tracy
    Train Dreams (Netflix) — Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar
    Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) — Rian Johnson

    Major Threats
    No Other Choice (Neon) — Park Chan-wook, Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi & Don McKellar
    The Smashing Machine (A24) — Benny Safdie
    Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century) — Scott Cooper
    Nuremberg (Sony Classics) — James Vanderbilt
    The Life of Chuck (Neon) — Mike Flanagan

    Possibilities
    Hedda (Amazon/MGM) — Nia DaCosta
    Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) — Holly Gent, Michèle Halberstadt, Laetitia Masson & Vincent Palmo
    Die My Love (Mubi) — Alice Birch, Lynne Ramsay & Enda Walsh
    Frankenstein (Netflix) — Guillermo del Toro — podcast 1 and 2
    Downton Abbey: The Grand Finale (Focus) — Julian Fellowes — podcast

    Long Shots
    Highest 2 Lowest (A24) — Alan Fox
    Ballad of a Small Player (Netflix) — Rowan Joffé
    The Lost Bus (Apple) — Paul Greengrass & Brad Ingelsby — podcast (Greengrass)
    The History of Sound (Mubi) — Ben Shattuck

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century) — James Cameron, Rick Jaffa & Amanda Silver
    Song Sung Blue (Focus) — Craig Brewer
    Wicked: For Good (Universal) — Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman

  • Best Original Screenplay

    Image Credit: Courtesy of A24

    Frontrunners
    Sentimental Value (Neon) — Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt
    Sinners (Warner Bros.) — Ryan Coogler
    The Secret Agent (Neon) — Kleber Mendonça Filho
    A House of Dynamite (Netflix) — Noah Oppenheim
    Jay Kelly (Netflix) — Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer

    Major Threats
    It Was Just an Accident (Neon) — Jafar Panahi
    Weapons (Warner Bros.) — Zach Cregger
    Roofman (Paramount) — Derek Cianfrance & Kirt Gunn
    Rental Family (Searchlight) — Stephen Blahut & Hikari
    Materialists (A24) — Celine Song

    Possibilities
    Sorry, Baby (A24) — Eva Victor
    Left-Handed Girl (Netflix) — Sean Baker & Shih-Ching Tsou — podcast (Baker)
    Dead Man’s Wire (Row K) — Austin Kolodney
    After the Hunt (Amazon/MGM) — Nora Garrett
    A Private Life (Sony Classics) — Anne Berest, Gaëlle Macé & Rebecca Zlotowski

    Long Shots
    If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (A24) — Mary Bronstein
    Blue Moon (Sony Classics) — Robert Kaplow
    Anemone (Focus) — Daniel Day-Lewis & Ronan Day-Lewis
    Eleanor the Great (Sony Classics) — Tory Kamen
    Warfare (A24) — Alex Garland & Ray Mendoza
    F1 (Apple/Warner Bros.) — Ehren Kruger

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Ella McCay (20th Century) — James L. Brooks
    Is This Thing On? (Searchlight) — Will Arnett, Mark Chappell & Bradley Cooper
    Marty Supreme (A24) — Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie

  • Best International Feature

    Image Credit: Courtesy of Music Box

    Frontrunners
    Norway — Sentimental Value (Neon)
    Brazil — The Secret Agent (Neon)
    France — It Was Just an Accident (Neon)
    South Korea — No Other Choice (Neon)
    Ukraine — 2000 Meters to Andriivka (PBS)

    Major Threats
    Germany — Sound of Falling (Mubi)
    Spain — Sirāt (Neon)
    Taiwan — Left-Handed Girl (Netflix)
    North Macedonia — The Tale of Silyan (Nat Geo)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Argentina — Belén (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Belgium — Young Mothers (Music Box)
    Canada — The Things You Kill (Cineverse)
    Chile — The Mysterious Gaze of the Flamingo (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Czech Republic — I’m Not Everything I Want to Be (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Denmark — Mr. Nobody Against Putin (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Hungary — Orphan (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Iceland — The Love That Remains (Janus)
    Iraq — The President’s Cake (Sony Classics)
    Ireland — Sanatorium (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Israel — The Sea (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Italy — Familia (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Jordan — All That’s Left of You (Watermelon/Visibility)
    Mexico — We Shall Not Be Moved (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Palestine — Palestine 36 (Watermelon)
    Philippines — Magellan (Janus)
    Poland — Kafka (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Senegal — Demba (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Switzerland — Late Shift (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Thailand — A Useful Ghost (Cineverse)
    Tunisia — The Voice of Hind Rajab (still seeking U.S. distribution)

  • Best Documentary Feature

    Image Credit: Courtesy of Oscilloscope

    Frontrunners
    2000 Meters to Andriivka (PBS)
    Apocalypse in the Tropics (Netflix)
    The Perfect Neighbor (Netflix)
    My Mom Jayne (HBO)
    The Alabama Solution (HBO)

    Major Threats
    Riefenstahl (Kino Lorber)
    Cover-Up (Netflix)
    Come See Me in the Good Light (Apple)
    Natchez (Oscilloscope)
    The Tale of Silyan (Nat Geo)
    Orwell: 2+2=5 (Neon)
    It’s Never Over, Jeff Buckley (Magnolia)

    Possibilities
    Predators (MTV)
    The Eyes of Ghana (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Holding Liat (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk (Kino Lorber)
    Deaf President Now! (Apple)
    Prime Minister (Magnolia)
    Folktales (Magnolia)

    Long Shots
    Stiller & Meara: Nothing Is Lost (Apple)
    The Man Who Saves the World? (Area 23a)
    Coexistence, My Ass! (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    One to One: John & Yoko (Magnolia)
    Sly Lives! (aka The Burden of Black Genius) (Hulu)
    Grand Theft Hamlet (Mubi)
    Diane Warren: Relentless (MasterClass)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Always (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    American Sons (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Andre Is An Idiot (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Antidote (Amazon/PBS)
    Architecton (A24)
    Art for Everybody (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Below the Clouds (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Blknws: Terms & Conditions (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    BTS Army: Forever We Are Young (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Champions of the Golden Valley (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Child of Dust (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Cutting Through Rocks (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    The Dating Game (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Facing War (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Food Delivery: Fresh from the West Philippine Sea (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Heightened Scrutiny (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    How to Build a Library (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    I Was Born This Way (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Karl (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    The Last Class (Abramorama)
    The Librarians (Independent Lens)
    Life After (POV)
    Marc by Sofia (A24)
    Mistress Dispeller (Oscilloscope)
    Move Ya Body (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Mr. Nobody Against Putin (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Norita (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Nuestra Tierra (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Remake (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    The Rose: Come Back to Me (CJ 4DPlex)
    A Savage Art: The Life & Cartoons of Pat Oliphant (Magnolia)
    Seeds (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Selena y Los Dinos (Netflix)
    Shari & Lamb Chop (Kino Lorber)
    The Stringer (Netflix)
    Third Act (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Timestamp (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Trains (EPF Media)
    Wisdom of Happiness (Abramorama)
    Zodiac Killer Project (Music Box)

  • Best Animated Feature

    Image Credit: Courtesy of Netflix

    Frontrunners
    KPop Demon Hunters (Netflix)
    Arco (Neon)
    In Your Dreams (Netflix)
    Elio (Disney/Pixar)

    Major Threats

    Possibilities

    Long Shots
    Fixed (Netflix)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Animal Farm (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    The Bad Guys 2 (Universal)
    ChaO (GKIDS)
    Dandelion’s Odyssey (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle (Sony)
    Dog Man (Universal)
    Hypergalactic (Charades)
    The King of Kings (Angel)
    The Legend of Hei 2 (GKIDS)
    Lilo & Stitch (Disney)
    Little Amélie or the Character of Rain (GKIDS)
    Lost in Starlight (Netflix)
    A Magnificent Life (Sony Classics)
    Ne Zha 2 (A24)
    Paddington in Peru (Sony)
    Predator: Killer of Killers (Hulu)
    Scarlet (Sony Classics)
    Smurfs (Paramount)
    Sneaks (Briarcliff)
    Stitch Head (Briarcliff)
    The Twits (Netflix)
    Zootopia 2 (Disney)

  • Best Cinematography

    Image Credit: Focus Features

    Frontrunners
    Hamnet (Focus) — Lukasz Zal
    One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) — Michael Bauman
    F1 (Apple) — Claudio Miranda
    Sinners (Warner Bros.) — Autumn Durald Arkapaw
    Train Dreams (Netflix) — Adolpho Veloso

    Major Threats
    Bugonia (Focus) — Robbie Ryan
    Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) — David Chambille
    Jay Kelly (Netflix) — Linus Sandgren
    Frankenstein (Netflix) — Dan Lausten
    Weapons (Warner Bros.) — Larkin Seiple
    A House of Dynamite (Netflix) — Barry Ackroyd
    Wicked: For Good (Universal) — Alice Brooks

    Possibilities
    Hedda (Amazon/MGM) — Sean Bobbitt
    Sentimental Value (Neon) — Kasper Tuxen
    The Smashing Machine (A24) — Maceo Bishop
    No Other Choice (Neon) — Kim Woo-hyung
    Mickey 17 (Warner Bros.) — Darius Khondji
    If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (A24) — Christopher Messina

    Long Shots
    The Secret Agent (Neon) — Evgenia Alexandrova
    Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century) — Masanobu Takayanagi
    Ballad of a Small Player (Netflix) — James Friend
    Anemone (Focus) — Ben Fordesman
    Highest 2 Lowest (A24) — Matthew Libatique
    Kiss of the Spider Woman (Roadside) — Tobias A. Schliessler
    Warfare (A24) — David J. Thompson

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century) — Russell Carpenter
    Is This Thing On? (Searchlight) — Matthew Libatique
    Marty Supreme (A24) — Darius Khondji
    Song Sung Blue (Focus) — Amy Vincent

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