WNBA Betting Preview: Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever
The Las Vegas Aces square off against the Indiana Fever at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with tip-off scheduled for 01:00 on Friday 7 August.
Under 195.5 the Most Likely Outcome
We’re not sure that the Aces and the Fever will reach a certain points threshold. Our prediction is to take the 1.91 that there are Under 195.5 points.
109-75 Triumph for Fever in Last H2H
Las Vegas Aces won their previous game by a 109-87 scoreline. It was on the road against Atlanta Dream at Gateway Center Arena.
Indiana Fever were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 108-100 reverse against Minnesota Lynx at Target Center.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Fever have won the last two matchups against the Aces. They achieved winning scorelines of 84-68 and 109-75 at Michelob Ultra Arena. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Fever victories.
2
Aces
21
9
2760
2598
162
9-5
12-4
1W
5
Fever
19
11
2895
2720
175
11-5
8-6
1L
View Full Standings
Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever Prediction & Picks
Get ready for Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to player props and a custom bet builder.
Game Prediction
195.5 points looks too big a number on the total line and we are happy to play the 1.91 about Under when it comes to this exciting WNBA matchup.
Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert basketball picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate WNBA predictions possible.
Key Aces vs Fever stats:
Under 195.5 Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
If you’re going Under with your wager, then you can take the option to include this selection in a Bet Builder and get potentially bigger odds. Combine it with other picks.
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Our Game Prediction
Under 195.5 Points @ 1.91
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 6, 05:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 05:02, 06 August 2026
Player Prop Picks
Caitlin Clark (Fever) can be backed to total Under 21.5 points at 1.86. Should you agree with our verdict that she doesn’t reach this total, you can go under the line.
Latest Caitlin Clark Player Prop Odds
Points
Assists
Chelsea Gray (Aces) can be wagered to score Over 12.5 points at 1.90. We’re happy to take this Player Points prop bet as she is capable of a big performance.
Latest Chelsea Gray Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Correct Score Prediction
We’re expecting this to be a close contest and we’ll take the Fever to win 98-94. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.
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Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Books Predicting a Close Encounter
The WNBA sportsbooks can’t decide whether Indiana Fever or Las Vegas Aces are more likely to prosper. They have Moneyline odds of 1.91 about both teams and that means they theoretically have the same percentage chance of winning.
The current spread is 1.5 and the total points line is 192.5. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to bet Under 192.5, there are odds of 1.91.
Women’s hoops fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.
Betting Lines & Odds
Moneyline
Point Spread
Total Points
A’ja Wilson Favorite to Get Most Points
A’ja Wilson is the favorite to score most points. She is priced at 1.78 to score Over 27.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at 1.91.
Player Points
A’ja Wilson (Aces)
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)
Caitlin Clark (Fever)
Jackie Young (Aces)
Player Assists
Caitlin Clark (Fever)
Jackie Young (Aces)
Chelsea Gray (Aces)
A’ja Wilson (Aces)
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)
Aliyah Boston (Fever)
Player Rebounds
Chelsea Gray (Aces)
Aliyah Boston (Fever)
Micro Betting
You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Las Vegas Aces Stats
Indiana Fever Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 180.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 182.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 195.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 195.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 93.90 pts and allowed 86.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 93.70 pts and allowed 88.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 196.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 200.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 195.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 195.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 102.60 pts and allowed 94.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 105.00 pts and allowed 95.10 pts in the last 10 home games
Expert Analysis by Jason Stewart
Senior WNBA Analyst
About the Analyst
Senior WNBA Analyst Jason Stewart delivers research-driven WNBA predictions built on advanced efficiency metrics, odds and line movement analysis along with a long-term probability-based approach. A regular presence at Chicago Sky home games, he combines on-site insight with data-led evaluation to identify value.
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WNBA Predictions Methodology
Our WNBA analysis highlights execution and team defense, blending injuries and lineup data with recent results and market movement. We use advanced metrics such as rebounding rates, defensive efficiency, assist percentages and true shooting percentages (TS%) to assess value in a league often characterised by structured half-court play and defensive discipline.
Full Prediction Methodology & Data Sources
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Transparency & Safety
This preview was last updated on Aug 6, 19:38 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, starting lineups, player rotations, rest and travel factors, key performance metrics and odds movement.
All analysis is produced by professional analysts, supported by proprietary internal models, advanced performance metrics and reviewed by our Basketball Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our game predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
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