Tigers @ Mariners Series Game 5 Postseason Matchup Details
Teams : Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners
Postseason Series : Series Game 5
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, October 10th
Time : 10/10/25 20:08:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Detroit Tigers Postseason Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
,Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
,This game is projected to have the 2nd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
,The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.5-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
,Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
,T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for dingers.
,Dillon Dingler ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (53.1% rate this year).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
,Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 19th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
,Gleyber Torres’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
,Gleyber Torres has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,As it relates to his home run talent, Mitch Garver ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal today.
,Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
,Julio Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal today.
,As it relates to his home run ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
,Kerry Carpenter will have the handedness advantage against George Kirby in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
,Parker Meadows will have the handedness advantage against George Kirby in today’s game.
,Parker Meadows pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Parker Meadows has had bad variance on his side this year. His .277 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.
,When estimating his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.
,Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,The weakest projected offense of the day in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
,T-Mobile Park has the shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.
,In his last GS, George Kirby conceded a whopping 5 earned runs.
,When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places George Kirby in the 78th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Detroit Tigers with a 24.4% underlying K%.
,The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
,Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
,Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
,Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.
,Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today’s game.
,Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today’s game.
,Zach McKinstry’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 44.5% to 49.6%.
,The Seattle Mariners projected lineup profiles as the weakest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability.
,With 7 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Tarik Skubal will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
,When it comes to his strikeout ability, Tarik Skubal projects as the best pitcher in Major League Baseball currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The Seattle Mariners (23.3 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-prone set of hitters of all teams on the slate.
,Tarik Skubal’s 2354-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a sizeable 128-rpm increase from last year’s 2226-rpm mark.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
,Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,Josh Naylor will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
,Eugenio Suarez projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Javier Baez is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Seattle (#1-best of all teams on the slate).
,Javier Baez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year’s 89.2-mph figure.
,Javier Baez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 35% to 40.9%.
,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Colt Keith ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Colt Keith is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
,Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.
,In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, J.P. Crawford has had bad variance on his side this year. His .322 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342.
,In terms of his batting average, J.P. Crawford has suffered from bad luck this year. His .265 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .292.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
,Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Victor Robles will have the upper hand today.
,Victor Robles pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
,Victor Robles will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Postseason Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst park in MLB for run-scoring.
,T-Mobile Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.
,George Kirby will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Torkelson in today’s matchup.
,Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
,Seattle’s #1-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Spencer Torkelson, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
,Dillon Dingler is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.
,T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,George Kirby will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dillon Dingler in today’s game.
,Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
,Riley Greene has displayed bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 14th percentile with a 4.46 K/BB rate.
,T-Mobile Park grades out as the #30 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
,George Kirby will hold the platoon advantage against Gleyber Torres today.
,Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
,Gleyber Torres has posted a .197 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.
,Mitch Garver is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
,When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Mitch Garver has been pulled from the game early 13% of the time.
,Mitch Garver has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .284 rate is inflated compared to his .252 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Grading out in the 17th percentile, Mitch Garver has put up a .356 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
,Julio Rodriguez’s 9.2° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the game: 16th percentile.
,When starting against a northpaw this year, Kerry Carpenter has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 30% of the time.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kerry Carpenter today.
,Kerry Carpenter has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 17.8% rate last year has fallen off to 12.5% this year.
,From last year to this one, Kerry Carpenter’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 25% to 18.2%.
,Parker Meadows is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,21% of the time that Parker Meadows has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.
,Parker Meadows will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
,Parker Meadows’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 19.6% to 12.1%.
,The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.
,This year, there has been a decline in Julio Rodriguez’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.6 ft/sec last year to 29.13 ft/sec currently.
,The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Tarik Skubal,Jorge Polanco’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (13°) is quite a bit lower than his 20.6° figure last year.
,Jorge Polanco has been lucky this year, posting a .350 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .024 discrepancy.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects George Kirby in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.
,Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,T-Mobile Park profiles as the #30 ballpark in the majors for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Kirby to throw 81 pitches in today’s matchup (most of the day), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
,George Kirby has gone to his change-up 5.3% less often this year (4.9%) than he did last year (10.2%).
,With a 1.16 discrepancy between George Kirby’s 9.79 K/9 and his 8.63 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to negatively regress in the future.
,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will bat from his worse side against Tarik Skubal in this game.
,As it relates to his home runs, Cal Raleigh has been lucky this year. His 51.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 42.4.
,Cal Raleigh has been lucky this year, compiling a .393 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .353 — a .040 difference.
,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dillon Dingler in today’s game.
,Dillon Dingler has been lucky this year, notching a .326 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .027 difference.
,From last season to this one, Eugenio Suarez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 45.8% to 38.8%.
,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.304) implies that Eugenio Suarez has been lucky this year with his .348 actual wOBA.
,Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
,When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Zach McKinstry has been pulled from the game early 12% of the time.
,Tarik Skubal projects as the best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The Seattle Mariners have been the luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tarik Skubal to throw 80 pitches in this game (least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
,Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tarik Skubal in today’s matchup.
,Josh Naylor has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.
,Tarik Skubal will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Naylor in today’s game.
,Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 93.7-mph EV last year has dropped to 90.3-mph.
,As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Naylor has experienced some positive variance this year. His .351 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.
,When it comes to his home runs, Eugenio Suarez has had some very good luck this year. His 44.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 33.8.
,When it comes to plate discipline, Eugenio Suarez’s skill is quite bad, sporting a 4.26 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 16th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 23rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
,Javier Baez is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.
,Hitting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Javier Baez has a tough challenge in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Javier Baez today.
,34% of the time that Colt Keith has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
,Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
,J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Hitting from the same side that Tarik Skubal throws from, J.P. Crawford will not have the upper hand in today’s game.
,Randy Arozarena ranks in the 8th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (39.1% rate this year).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
,J.P. Crawford’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91.9-mph figure last season has dropped off to 89.7-mph.
,Victor Robles is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Victor Robles’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.2-mph mark last year has fallen off to 87.5-mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 25th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
,There has been a significant decline in Victor Robles’s launch angle from last year’s 14.7° to 6.7° this season.
,Zach McKinstry will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
,Zach McKinstry’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 88-mph figure last year has fallen off to 85.9-mph.
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