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Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds and Picks

These 2 teams sit right behind the Eagles for first place in the NFC East as Washington (3-3) heads to Dallas (2-3-1) on late Sunday afternoon. Both squads are coming off losses last week in heartbreaking fashion. The Commanders rallied from a 13-0 deficit to lead the Bears on Monday night, 24-16 in the fourth quarter. Chicago scored the final 10 points of the game, capped off by a game-winning field goal in the final seconds for a 25-24 triumph. Meanwhile, Dallas went back and forth with Carolina on the road before allowing the go-ahead field goal as time expired in a 30-27 defeat to the Panthers. It marked the fourth time in the last 5 games that the Cowboys yielded at least 30 points, while being the only team in the league to give up an average of over 400 yards a game.

Commanders QB Jayden Daniels has thrown 4 touchdowns in the past 2 games after returning from a knee injury. In each of his last 3 starts, Washington has trailed by double-digits before scoring their first points. Dallas has played probably the 2 of the most exciting games of the season at AT&T Stadium. The Cowboys outlasted the Giants in overtime in Week 2 via a 40-37 OT scoreline and rallied to tie the Packers 40-40 in Week 4. The offense has been great, but they will get back one of its top weapons in WR Ceedee Lamb — who is expected to return following a 4-game absence with an ankle injury.

Last season the road team won each matchup, as Dallas held off Washington, 34-26 in D.C. and while the Commanders rallied late against the Cowboys in Arlington for a 23-19 victory. In both games the Cowboys played without QB Dak Prescott, who was sidelined for the season halfway through. Prescott threw 4 TD passes in each of the 2 wins over Washington during the 2023 season, but the Commanders finished 4-13 before drafting Daniels the following spring. Dallas is 6-2 against the spread in its last 8 opportunities as an underdog since last November. However, 7 of those covers came as a ‘dog of at least 4 points. In this spot, let’s back Washington as a short favorite to grab the road victory.

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys best bet: Commanders -1.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -2.5.

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