Four exciting second-round matches are scheduled on Day 4 of the ATP Hong Kong Open, including the match of #2 seed Alexander Bublik, who has a tough match against Botic van de Zandschulp of the Netherlands. As always, we at LWOT will offer predictions for every match on the slate, but who will advance?
ATP Hong Kong Day 4 Predictions
Lorenzo Sonego vs Juncheng Shang
Head-to-Head: first meeting
Both these players are off to a good start this week, but Juncheng Shang was more impressive as he did not get broken in his match against Francisco Comesana. Shang is a crowd favourite in Hong Kong and has played excellent tennis at this tournament in the last two editions. I expect him to trouble Sonego with his lefty serve and speed. The Italian has more firepower but can be inconsistent and spray errors from the baseline.
Prediction: Shang in 3
Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Giron
Head-to-Head: first meeting
Defending champion Alexandre Muller faced a tough opponent in the first match but played well to win in straight sets. He hit 29 winners and served at a high rate to keep Miomir Kecmanovic at bay. Marcos Giron made a fantastic debut at the Hong Kong Open, losing just two games against Laslo Djere. Both these players have a similar game style, and it would come down to who can execute their shots better. Muller is on a 6-match win streak here, but I am backing Giron.
Prediction: Giron in 3
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Karen Khachanov vs Michael Mmoh
Head-to-Head: Khachanov 0-1 Mmoh
#4 seed Karen Khachanov, with few points to defend in the first few months of this year, has a decent chance to improve his ranking. He has never won a match at this tournament and will be looking to end that streak and get off to a solid start. Michael Mmoh has already played three matches here, which should benefit him. He also won their only meeting back in 2023. However, Khachanov is a much more experienced player, and with his big serve and powerful groundstrokes, he is the favourite.
Prediction: Khachanov in 3
Alexander Bublik vs Botic van de Zandschulp
Head-to-Head: Bublik 1-2 Zandschulp
Alexander Bublik enjoyed a great 2025 season and will be looking to achieve even greater things this season. If he can remain focused, he will be a nightmare to face this week and further with his big serve and unpredictability. Botic van de Zandschulp has beaten Bublik twice in the past, but the Kazakh player is a better player now. I can see this going three sets, but Bublik has more weapons to rely on in clutch moments.
Prediction: Bublik in 3
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
