The Trump administration is in disarray since the announcement of a criminal investigation of Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve. Now, the finger-pointing has begun. Trump says he doesn’t know anything about it, and many of his top advisers, including most members of his Cabinet, apparently didn’t get the memo, either.
Pirro Steps In It
Trump handpicked the US Attorney of Washington, D.C., Jeanine Pirro, a former Fox News host, has launched the investigation.
According to Axios, Trump’s own Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told the President in a call that the investigation “made a mess” that could impact financial markets. Reportedly, the DC District Attorney announced the investigation without warning the top White House officials, the DOJ, or the Treasury Department.
“The secretary isn’t happy, and he let the president know,” an anonymous Trumpworld source told the outlet.
It’s pointless to describe the alleged criminal activity because it’s unanimously agreed by observers in law and politics on both sides of the aisle that criminal charges specifically against Powell, but also generally against any of the people on Trump’s enemies list, are entirely and without exception mere fake pretexts for retaliation contrived out of convenience and likely to be dismissed, unless any of the cases are somehow steered towards Judge Eileen Canon, whose kangaroo court has been compromised for Trump’s personal use.
Both Sides Agree Investigation Stupid
Exceedingly few issues unite legal analysts on the right and left like this investigation.
Marc Joseph Stern, a legal analyst at Slate, wrote: “This investigation is not just legally frivolous; it is a grave tactical blunder that shows exactly why the judiciary must insulate Powell and his colleagues from the president’s wrath.”
The editorial board of the Wall Street Journal, an outlet owned by News Corp, which is controlled by the Murdoch family, the former employer of the DC U.S. Attorney, lambasted the former Fox host, calling the investigation “lawfare for dummies,” recommending that Trump, “do himself and the country a big favor by firing those responsible for this fiasco.”
In fact, Chairman Powell wasted no time denouncing that the charges were fake in a public statement, highly unusual for its candor, issued January 11 and posted on the Fed’s website:
It reads, in part, “This new threat is not about my testimony last June or about the renovation of the Federal Reserve buildings. It is not about Congress’s oversight role; the Fed, through testimony and other public disclosures, made every effort to keep Congress informed about the renovation project. Those are pretexts. The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the President.”
Emerging-Market Tactics, First-World Consequences
Every living former Fed chair signed a joint statement issued Monday morning that reads, in part, “This is how monetary policy is made in emerging markets with weak institutions, with highly negative consequences for Inflation
According to Investopedia, ‘inflation is the rate at which the value of a currency is falling and consequently the general level of prices for goods and services is rising.’
It would be funny if it weren’t so deadly serious for the future of the U.S. economy. If any part of this shambolic debacle is comical, it’s that it will likely blow up in Trump’s face.
Ross Delston, an independent attorney, expert witness, and former assistant general counsel at the FDIC, told Disruption Banking, “This is yet another example of the president’s attempt to muscle his opponents into complying with his demands. It might work with Republicans on Capitol Hill, but it will have the opposite effect here.”
MS NOW columnist Hayes Brown wrote, “In escalating this matter to the point that the normally staid Powell was motivated to respond with a defiant public statement, Pirro’s office has already made a mess of its hatchet job. Until lawyers formally try to obtain an indictment, this matter is going to linger in a way that lessens the pressure on Powell.”
Markets Shrug, Gold Soars
As a sign of how unserious the charges are, markets were barely impacted by the announcement. Investors seem to regard Trump’s ongoing threats as political noise that will not affect the management of the Fed.
The dollar weakened slightly, falling 0.34% to 98.90, and U.S. Treasury yields increased a little.
At the same time, Gold hit a record high above $4,600 an ounce during the session but retreated to $4,592.55.
Jim Barnes, director of fixed income at Bryn Mawr Trust, said, “Any time you have a new angle on something, the market reads it, trades on it a little bit, it has to digest it, and then it realizes this is just new news that’s consistent with prior events that have come out.”
Asked what potential long-term impacts might be, Ross Delston responded in an email to Disruption Banking, “The main effect of the Powell investigation will be to undermine faith in the Trump Administration, the independence of the Federal Reserve as the nation’s central bank, and the US Dollar, which has already fallen some 9 percent since the president took office, the largest decline since 2017. This will hurt consumers, since many products are imported, importers of goods, and buyers of imports, since prices will go up, as well as Americans traveling overseas. But it also risks lessening the faith in and stability of the dollar, the world’s Reserve currency
