The Liberty Flames (17-3, 9-0 C-USA) visit the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (11-8, 5-3) Thursday evening for a 7 p.m. ET (CBSSN) tip from Murphy Center in Murfreesboro, Tennessee. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.
Liberty has won 11 games in a row after taking down Delaware 67-51 on Saturday, covering as a 14.5-point home favorite with the Under (134.5) hitting. G Brett Decker Jr. led all scorers with 25 points on 6-of-12 shooting from 3, while only 1 other Flames player scored in double figures in the victory.
Middle Tennessee has dropped 2 of its last 3 games after falling 75-58 against Jacksonville State on Friday, failing to cover as a 1.5-point road favorite with the Under (133.5) hitting. G Kamari Lands scored a team-high 15 points but the Blue Raiders shot just 38% from the field in the losing effort.
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Liberty at Middle Tennessee odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Liberty -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Middle Tennessee -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Liberty +1.5 (-110) | Middle Tennessee -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Liberty at Middle Tennessee picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 70, Middle Tennessee 65
BET LIBERTY -102.
With the line flipping recently to make Middle Tennessee the favorite, the moneyline odds now offer you the best value for the Flames.
Liberty’s 11-game winning streak incudes 5 road games. Though many of the games have been close, going with the moneyline bet eliminates the worry about margin of victory. Liberty has also won 3 of 4 in the series, including 2 straight (with the most recent win 86-81 at Middle Tennessee on March 6 of last year).
The Blue Raiders have dropped 3 of their last 5 games and have struggled all season to build any sort of consistency or momentum.
PASS.
While the moneyline offers better odds and I expect the Flames to win outright, you can sacrifice a little on the return to take the Flames getting the point-and-a-half if it helps with peace of mind.
BET UNDER 135.5 (-115).
The Flames have hit the Under in 6 of their last 10 games, including 3 of their last 4. Liberty has scored 73 or fewer points in 3 of its last 6, while allowing 71 or fewer in each of the last 4.
The Blue Raiders have hit the Under in 9 of their last 12 games. They have scored 89 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 while allowing 75 or fewer in 8 of their last 10.
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