Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics Preview & Game Thread: Inverted expectations

Prior to the season, we expected the Milwaukee Bucks to make the playoffs and maybe even win a round, while the Boston Celtics were anticipating a gap year following Jayson Tatum’s Achilles injury—our friends over at Celtics Blog even said as much. How wrong we were. After another loss to the Washington Generals Wizards, the Bucks are now 12th in the East at 18-28, while the Celtics are sitting pretty at 30-18, tied with the New York Knicks for second place. Trending in opposite directions—but the Bucks holding a 1-0 season lead—the sides take to TD Garden this afternoon for the inaugural NBA Pioneers Classic, which recognises the start of Black History Month and honours the legacy of NBA Pioneers Chuck Cooper, Nathaniel “Sweetwater” Clifton, and Earl Lloyd, the league’s first Black players.
As you are well aware, the Bucks are the talk of the NBA for all the wrong reasons, with trade rumours galore dominating conversation. On the court, the Bucks continue to free fall, losing four in a row and eight of their last 10. It’s not all doom and gloom, though. Myles Turner is in the midst of his best stretch as a Buck (more on that below), Bobby Portis has found a new wrinkle with his passing, and Pete Nance is making a case that he’s more than just a two-way player. And, at this point, it seems losing games isn’t so bad after all, with 85% of fans agreeing that the Bucks should try and get a high draft pick.
Boston, on the other hand, continues its Cinderella season. Winners of three of their last five, the Celtics have defied the odds this season and are a legitimate threat in the Eastern Conference, even if there are some cracks in the armour. Jaylen Brown continues to lead the Celtics and was recently named All-Star starter for his efforts—the first time in his career he’s received that honour. Payton Pritchard has also been in red-hot form, putting up 21.2 PPG and 4.4 APG (shooting .545/.500/.714) over his last five. But that should come as no surprise for someone who’s the most efficient isolation scorer in the league. Yet, it’s his ability to score and create without turning the ball over that’s most impressive. On the season, Pritchard has an absurd 248 assists to just 52 turnovers, crediting his offensive mastery to his roots as a quarterback. Needless to say, the Bucks could learn a few things.
For the Bucks, Giannis (calf), Taurean Prince (neck), and Kevin Porter Jr. (oblique) all remain out, while Gary Harris is listed as probable (hamstring soreness).
For the Celtics, it’s a clean bill of health besides Jayson Tatum (Achilles) and the G-Leaguers, with Amari Williams listed as questionable.
Over the past three games, Myles Turner has had his season-high in points (31, vs. Philadelphia), rebounds (14, vs. Washington), and blocks (6, vs. Denver and Washington). In this stretch, he’s averaging 23.0 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 2.0 APG, and 4.7 BPG, while shooting .568/.389/.923—the sort of output we dreamed he would offer when signed in the offseason and nearly twice as good as he’s been for the year. Digging deeper, though, there’s not as much change as there appears. Turner’s rebound percentage in this stretch (10.5%) is much the same as it has been for the season (9.4%), and his usage (21.5%) is only marginally increased from the 18.1% he’s had as a Buck (albeit much closer to the 20.7-23.4% he had with the Pacers over the last three years). What has changed, however, is his block percentage, going from 5.6% on the season to an otherworldly (and completely unsustainable) 12.1%. Moreover, his true shooting percentage has spiked from just 59% on the season to 69% over the last three. In large part, this can be attributed to Turner’s improved finishing inside, where he’s shot 88% from within five feet (compared to just 64% on the year). Not only has he been converting more from this range lately, he’s also attempting more (5.7 attempts per game, up from a measly 2.1). So, has Turner turned the corner and finally found his interior groove with the Bucks, is it that he’s getting more opportunities without Giannis dominating the interior, is Doc Rivers finally utilising him beyond floor spacer, or is this just a flash-in-the-pan hot stretch? Considering he put up just four points and three rebounds against the Celtics in their only other meeting this year, this afternoon’s game should provide at least some answers to these questions.
ESPN and FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin at 2:30 p.m. CST.




