2026 Argentina Open: Buse [96th] vs. Baez [34th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

On Thursday, Sebastian Baez (No. 34 in the world) faces Ignacio Buse (No. 96) in the Round of 16 at the Argentina Open.

Baez is the favorite against Buse in this match, with -275 odds compared to the underdog’s +210 in the Round of 16.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 2:35 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Ignacio Buse vs. Sebastian Baez matchup info

• Tournament: Argentina Open
• Round: Round of 16
• Date: Thursday, February 12
• Court Surface: Clay

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Buse vs. Baez Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Buse has a 73.3% to win.

Buse vs. Baez Betting Odds

• Buse’s odds to win match: +210
• Baez’s odds to win match: -275
• Buse’s odds to win tournament: +3300
• Baez’s odds to win tournament: +550

Buse vs. Baez matchup performance & stats

• Buse is 5-4 on clay over the past 12 months.
• On clay, Buse has won 77.8% of his service games and 18.8% of his return games over the past 12 months.
• Buse has converted 17 of 75 break points on clay (22.7%) over the past year and is 136th in break points won.
• Buse was defeated by Arthur Fery (3-6, 1-6) on October 11 in the Qualification Round 1 of his previous tournament, the Stockholm Open.
• Baez has come out on top in one tournament on clay over the past year, putting up a 13-11 record on that surface.
• On clay, Baez has a 63.7% winning percentage in service games and a 38.8% winning percentage in return games.
• On clay surfaces Baez has won 40.9% of break points, 97 out of 237, to rank third.
• On January 21, Baez was defeated by No. 25-ranked Luciano Darderi, 3-6, 6-1, 4-6, 3-6, in the Round of 64 of his most recent tournament, the Australian Open.