2026 Qatar ExxonMobil Open: Medvedev [11th] vs. Shang [259th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

On Monday, Daniil Medvedev (No. 11 in the world) takes on Juncheng Shang (No. 261) in the Round of 32 at the Qatar ExxonMobil Open.

Medvedev is the favorite (-350) to get to the Round of 16 against the underdog Shang (+260).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 10:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Daniil Medvedev vs. Juncheng Shang matchup info

• Tournament: Qatar ExxonMobil Open
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Monday, February 16
• Court Surface: Hard

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Medvedev vs. Shang Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Medvedev has a 77.8% to win.

Medvedev vs. Shang Betting Odds

• Medvedev’s odds to win match: -350
• Shang’s odds to win match: +260
• Medvedev’s odds to win tournament: +1100
• Shang’s odds to win tournament: +10000

Medvedev vs. Shang matchup performance & stats

• Medvedev has won two tournaments on hard courts over the past year, with a record of 35-15.
• Medvedev has won 80.1% of his service games on hard courts and 30.9% of his return games over the past year.
• Medvedev is third in break points won on hard courts over the past year, converting 165 of 432 (38.2%).
• In the the ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament, Medvedev’s most recent tournament, he was beaten 6-7, 6-3, 3-6 by No. 36-ranked Ugo Humbert on February 9 in the Round of 32.
• Shang has put up a 6-8 record in eight tournaments on hard courts over the past year.
• Shang has a 79.9% winning percentage in service games on hard courts, and a 21.4% winning percentage in return games.
• Shang’s 33 break points won on 83 total break points on hard courts so far this year (39.8% winning percentage) ranks 122nd.
• In his most recent tournament (the Australian Open) on January 21, Shang went up against Botic Van de Zandschulp in the Round of 64 and was defeated 6-7, 2-6, 3-6.