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N.J. weather: Snow chances increase for tricky weekend storm with up to 6 inches in initial forecast

The chances for widespread snow from a coastal winter storm starting Sunday have increased, with up to 6 inches possible for parts of New Jersey, forecasters say.

“The initial storm total snowfall forecast is generally a widespread 2-6 inches across most of the area,” the National Weather Service said early Friday. “These amounts are still highly uncertain and will likely change in future updates.”

The track and timing of the storm could shift snowfall expectations significantly.

Forecast guidance shows significant variability in the storm’s track and intensity, which will determine snowfall amounts, the weather service said.

The National Weather Service issued an initial snowfall forecast of widespread 2 to 6 inches for New Jersey on Sunday into Monday, but cautioned those projections are likely to change as the storm nears due to uncertainty in the track.AccuWeather.com

“These different solutions are to blame for the wide range in snowfall amounts, despite being within 72 hours of the storm,” the weather service said.

A track closer to the coast would bring higher snowfall totals, while a path more southeast would likely result in light wintry precipitation.

The National Weather Service issued an initial snowfall forecast of widespread 2 to 6 inches for New Jersey on Sunday into Monday, but cautioned those projections are likely to change as the storm nears due to uncertainty in the track.National Weather Service

“The probability of at least light snow accumulations of 2 inches or more have increased to around 60-80%,” the weather service said.

Probabilities of 6 inches or more of snow range from about 25 to 45%.

AccuWeather’s forecast map calls for 3 to 6 inches across southern New Jersey and 1 to 3 inch across the rest of the state.

AccuWeather is predicting a widespread 1 to 3 inches of snow across New Jersey, with 3 to 6 inches possible in the state’s southeastern region. Forecasters cautioned those projections are likely to change as the storm moves closer because of uncertainty in the track.AccuWeather.com

Snowfall is expected to begin Sunday morning and increase in intensity through Sunday afternoon and Sunday night, then wind down Monday into Monday night.

Gusty winds and coastal flooding along the Jersey Shore are also possible.

For the short-term forecast, light wintry precipitation continues through Friday morning across northern New Jersey counties.

A winter weather advisory in effect until noon for Sussex County, where a coating of ice could slick roads.

Temperatures will vary significantly across the state Friday, with highs near 60 degrees over southern areas but in the 40s for most of New Jersey, and mid to upper 30s in northwestern counties.

The National Weather Service ‘s New York regional office is predicting 4 inches of snow for most of the New York metro region, including most of northeastern New Jersey, and up to 6 inches of snow in parts of Passaic County.National Weather Service

Saturday’s forecast calls for sunny skies and high temperatures in the 40s.

Following the winter storm, colder temperatures are expected Monday and Tuesday, with highs mostly in the 30s and lows in the teens and 20s.

Conditions are expected to turn milder for the second half of next week.

Current weather radar

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