Today we kick off Conference Tournament week with an 18 game College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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This is the play-in round of the Horizon League Tournament.
IU Indianapolis (7-24) has dropped six straight and just fell to Purdue Fort Wayne 87-81, failing to cover as 1.5-point home dogs. Similarly, Cleveland State (10-21) has lost seven in a row and just got rolled by Robert Morris 83-64, failing to cover as 12.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Cleveland State listed as a 1.5-point home favorite.
Sharps have quietly sided with the home chalk, as Cleveland State is being juiced up -1.5 (-115) and a few other books have touched -2. We have never seen this line get down to -1 or lower. Reading between the lines, all movement and liability is in favor of the home chalk Vikings.
At DraftKings, Cleveland State is taking in 77% of spread bets and 89% of spread dollars, a notable one-way “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split in their favor.
Ken Pom has Cleveland State winning by two points (90-88).
As a result, many sharps have looked to gain some wiggle room by playing the Vikings on the moneyline at -120.
At DraftKings, Cleveland State is receiving 74% of moneyline bets and 81% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of heavy Pro and Joe action in favor of a straight up Vikings victory.
Cleveland State has the better offensive efficiency (69th vs 145th), three-point shooting (27th vs 262nd) and free-throw shooting (52nd vs 202nd).
This is also a revenge play for the Vikings, who lost to the Jaguars on the road 82-74 back in early February.
Idaho (16-14) just saw their two-game win streak come to an end, falling to Northern Colorado 76-67 and losing outright as 2-point home favorites. On the other hand, Eastern Washington (13-17) has won eight in a row and just dominated Northern Arizona 88-57, easily covering as 10-point home favorites.
This line opened with Eastern Washington listed as a 2.5-point home favorite.
Sharps have laid the wood with the red-hot Eagles, steaming Eastern Washington up from -2.5 to -3.5.
At DraftKings, Eastern Washington is taking in only 41% of spread bets but a whopping 88% of spread dollars. At Circa, Eastern Washington is receiving 67% of spread bets and 98% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a massive “low bets, higher dollars” sharp bet discrepancy in favor of the home chalk.
Ken Pom has Eastern Washington winning by three points (78-75). He also has the Eagles ranked higher (158th vs 173rd).
With this in mind, many bettors have preferred to protect themselves and target Eastern Washington on the moneyline at -170.
At DraftKings, Eastern Washington is taking in 79% of moneyline bets and 83% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of heavy pro support banking on a straight up victory for the home team on Senior Night.
Eastern Washington has the better offensive efficiency (103rd vs 178th), effective field goal percentage (72nd vs 159th), three-point shooting (43rd vs 115th) and free-throw shooting (92nd vs 157th).
Eastern Washington is 8-3 at home. Idaho is 6-9 on the road.
This is also a revenge play for the Eagles, who lost to the Vandals on the road 84-81 back in early January.
Idaho State (12-18) just saw their two-game win streak come to an end, falling to Weber State 83-73 and losing outright as 2-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Sacramento State (9-20) has dropped seven in a row and just got rolled by Montana State 82-61, failing to cover as 7-point road dogs.
This line opened with Sacramento State listed as a 1-point home favorite.
Right off the bat, this opening like speaks volumes. Even when factoring in home court advantage, why is a 9-20 team on a seven game losing streak favored over a team with a better won-loss record?
Sharps have embraced the fishy side, pushing Sacramento State up from -1 to -1.5.
At DraftKings, Sacramento State is receiving 53% of spread bets and 61% of spread dollars, a “low bets, higher dollars” bet split indicating public indecision but also respected sharp action on the home team.
Ken Pom has Sacramento State winning by one point (81-80).
As a result, many sharps have looked to gain some cushion by playing the Hornets on the moneyline at -120.
At Circa, Sacramento State is receiving 50% of moneyline bets and a hefty 96% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of heavy pro money from wiseguys in the desert backing a straight up victory for the home team on Senior Night.
Sacramento State commit fewer turnovers on offense (29th vs 202nd), have the better free-throw shooting (16th vs 70th) and force more turnovers on defense (157th vs 277th).
Sacramento State is 9-4 at home. Idaho State is 3-11 on the road.
This is also a revenge play for the Hornets, who lost to the Bengals on the road 97-84 back on January 1st.
