Danny Howard
• Betting Analyst
21+ years betting experience
Updated:
Apr 4, 2026 , 01:42 PM ET
• 4 min read
Howard’s prediction: Yakhyaev makes short work of Ribeiro.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev UFC
Hot off the heels of a performance for the record books, red-hot prospect Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev sets his sights on Brendson Ribeiro.
UFC odds currently have Yakhyaev is a massive favorite at -1400 while Ribeiro is a +730 underdog. Ribeiro figures to last longer than 33 seconds, but there isn’t much to suggest he’ll be able to derail Yakhyaev.
Read more in my Yakhyaev vs Ribeiro predictions and free betting picks for Saturday, April 4.
Yakhyaev vs Ribeiro fight prediction: Yakhyaev moneyline
Yakhyaev vs Ribeiro
Apr 4 • UFC Fight Night
Fight Prediction
Yakhyaev to win (-1250)
Bet now at
Yakhyaev only needed 33 seconds to score six takedowns and a submission win over Rafael Cerqueria in his last fight, and he’s going up against an opponent with a horrible 18% takedown defense. Ribeiro is coming off consecutive first-round stoppage losses and can’t avoid hitting the mat.
Yakhaev is being slotted in this position for another showcase performance, and Ribeiro is the right kind of opponent to do just that.
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Yakhyaev vs Ribeiro best bet: Pick (Odds)
Yakhyaev vs Ribeiro
Apr 4 • UFC Fight Night
Best bet
Yakhyaev To Win by KO/TKO/DQ (-120)
Bet now at
Three of Ribeiro’s losses have come by stoppage, and he doesn’t have the defense or damage threshold to make this competitive.
We’ve seen Yakhyaev explode from the start, maul his opponents, and strafe them with strikes. How this fight makes it out of the first round would be some sort of miracle.
Expect Yakhyaev to push the fight from the start, get Ribeiro in a bad spot on the mat, and pound him out for a knockout win. Yakhyaev by knockout is my best bet.
COVERS INTEL: As fast as the 33-second submission was, Yakhyaev doesn’t crack the top ten.
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Brendson Ribeiro odds
Method of Victory
Yakhyaev
Ribeiro
To win outright
-1400
+730
To win by KO/TKO
-140
+2100
To win by decision
+850
+2700
To win by submission
+155
+3300
Total rounds
Over 1.5
+320
Under 1.5
-450
Odds as of 4-4.
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Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Brendson Ribeiro tale of the tape
Yakhyaev
Ribeiro
25
Age
29
6-foot-2
Height
6-foot-3
Light heavyweight
Weight Class
Light heavyweight
78 inches
Reach
61 inches
8-0
Record
17-9
3
Wins by KO
9
4
Wins by submission
7
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat.
Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon.
Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters’ recent form, especially when considering props.
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