MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Monday, April 13
Josh Inglis
• Betting Analyst
13+ years betting experience
Updated:
Apr 13, 2026 , 01:30 PM ET
• 4 min read
Josh Inglis is picking on some contact-prone starting pitchers. Find out why Gunnar Henderson and Shea Langeliers are among today’s top home run picks.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Shea Langeliers celebrates a grand slam against the Blue Jays.
Let’s try to get the home run train moving this week by picking on some struggling pitchers in settings with good-to-great hitting conditions and spots to target MLB player props.
Ryne Nelson, Yusei Kikuchi, and Nathan Eovaldi are solid pitching targets to find some dingers today, as they’re struggling and their visiting parks are looking hitter-friendly. There are plenty of names on the Orioles, Yankees, and Athletics to target on Monday for four-baggers.
These are my favorite home run props for Monday, April 13.
Best MLB home run props today
Player to hit a HR
Odds
Gunnar Henderson
+440
Jose Caballero
+1040
Shea Langeliers
+470
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Gunnar Henderson (+440)
The Baltimore Orioles draw one of the better hitting environments on the board today, ranking as the third-best park for home runs, and get a favorable matchup against Ryne Nelson.
The Arizona Diamondbacks right-hander carries one of the highest fly-ball rates in baseball, and when paired with a 42% hard-hit rate, it’s a strong setup for power. He’s already allowed multiple home runs in two of his three starts this season.
Gunnar Henderson is off to a strong power start with six home runs, among the league leaders. While the average is down, the quality of contact is there, with nine of his 15 hits going for extra bases.
He is riding a six-game hitting streak, which also includes four longballs. Covers projections, powered by THE BAT, price this home run closer to +380.
There’s also some matchup history, with Henderson going 2-for-4 with a home run off Nelson, adding another layer of confidence to the play.
- Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MASN, Dbacks.TV
Jose Caballero (+1040)
I’m taking a big shot at the Yankees’ shortstop at the highest price I’ve hit in this article for a homer.
Jose Caballero might not have much time left with the club, as Anthony Volpe is beginning his rehab assignment tomorrow. Still, he has a great opportunity to showcase tonight at Yankee Stadium with 16-mph winds blowing out and a matchup vs. Yusei Kikuchi.
The Angels’ starter gives up a lot of flyballs, and only five other starters have given up hard-hit balls at a higher rate than the lefty at 48%. He has avoided giving up a lot of home runs this season (just one allowed), but the dingers are coming, and Caballero has already taken him deep in his career.
He also handles lefties better than righties. It’s a giant price with a lot of checkmarks.
- Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: YES, FanDuel Sports Network West
Shea Langeliers (+470)
The Athletics are back at their Minor League diamond, where pitchers seem to struggle at a high frequency.
Nathan Eovaldi has yet to have a game where he keeps the ball in the park, and Shea Langeliers is a hitter I’ve watched go deep five times this season without my money on him. That changes today.
The middle-of-the-order bat is +470 to go long, with a break-even price around +390/+400. He’s gone eight games without a homer but still owns an OPS north of .900 to start the year, and he has solid history against Eovaldi, going 4-for-12 with a home run.
It checks all the boxes — setting, matchup, and most importantly, price. The Texas Rangers also have four left-handers in the bullpen that Langeliers can take advantage of, as he crushes lefties.
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: RSN, NBCS-California
Today’s HR parlay
Gunnar Henderson
Bet Now
+34,989
Jose Caballero
Shea Langeliers
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
Josh Inglis’ 2026 Transparency Record
- HR picks: 2-22, -11.6 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
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