The ATP French Open third round on May 30 features two intriguing matchups between in-form players looking to reach the second week in Paris. Jaime Faria continues his impressive breakthrough run after back-to-back straight-set wins, while Frances Tiafoe arrives after spending nearly eight hours on court in his opening two matches. Felix Auger-Aliassime also looks to build momentum against Brandon Nakashima in a battle between two players coming off exhausting five-set encounters.
ATP French Open 1/16-Finals
Faria – Tiafoe: 30.05.2026 17:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jaime Faria has won five straight matches. The Portuguese qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the opening main draw round, Faria defeated Shapovalov in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, Faria dominated on his serve throughout the match. In the second round, Faria defeated Struff in straight sets. He trailed in the opening and second set, but turned it around.
Frances Tiafoe has won three of his last five matches. This week in Paris, Tiafoe outlasted Spizzirri in four sets in the opening match. He served well, saving two out of three breakpoints. In the second round, the American outlasted Hurkacz in five tight sets after playing for almost five hours. He had a chance to close out the match in the fourth set, but fumbled under pressure. Last season at the French Open, Tiafoe lost to Musetti in the quarterfinals.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Faria is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is in great form and has dominated in both matches this week in Paris. Tiafoe had two consecutive tough matches and spent almost 8 hours on the court. We expect Faria to keep this match close.
That being said, Faria covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jaime Faria +2.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Auger-Aliassime – Nakashima: 30.05.2026 20:15 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won three of his last five matches. The Canadian outlasted Altmaier in the opening match in five tight sets. He trailed 1-2, but turned it around. In the deciding set, Auger-Aliassime trailed 1-4 in the deciding set, but turned it around. Auger-Aliassime turned the match around against Burruchaga in the second round. After losing the opening set 4-6, the Canadian stepped up his level and turned the match around easily.
Brandon Nakashima has won three of his last five matches. This week in Paris, Nakashima defeated Bautista-Agut in the opening match in straight sets. He served well, offering no breakpoints throughout the match. In the second round, the American outlasted van Assche in five tight sets after playing for almost five hours. He trailed 1-2, but turned it around.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Auger-Aliassime is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He played well in the second round against a solid clay-court player. Nakashima will be physically exhausted coming into this match.
That being said, Auger-Aliassime covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Felix Auger-Aliassime -4.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
