- The Dolphins shock the Bills: The Dolphins sank the Bills 30-13 in a major upset, creating more problems for the Bills’ defense.
Estimated Reading Time: 26 minutes
The power rankings below provide clear tiers on each NFL team’s market assessment, offering a comprehensive view of team standings and future prospects. All of the information below and more can be found in PFF’s power rankings tool, which is available with a PFF+ subscription.
It’s important to note that these rankings consider more than just win-loss records and playoff seeding. Factors like player and team-level grades, offensive and defensive efficiency, prior performance from past seasons, and strength of schedule all play a role. This is why teams with worse records and slimmer playoff hopes may rank higher than those with better records who have managed wins against weaker opponents or delivered inconsistent performances from key players.
1. Los Angeles Rams (Up 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 96%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 12%
This current iteration of the Rams feels like Sean McVay’s zenith. The passing game is excelling, and Matthew Stafford (92.5 grade; 2nd) is playing at an MVP level. The running game, which has often been a point of contention in recent years, is performing well, and the defense is one of the best in the NFL. The Rams cruised past the 49ers 42-26 to set up a collision course with the Seahawks in Week 11. Two of the best will go head-to-head.
2. Kansas City Chiefs (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 71%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 10%
The worst-case scenario for the Chiefs in their Week 10 bye was if both the Broncos and Chargers won, thereby widening the gap in their pursuit of a tenth straight AFC West title. That’s exactly what happened, and the Chiefs now have a 23% chance of winning the division. Though that space has widened, the Chiefs have earned the benefit of the doubt. The offense, before the Bills game, was ticking and is third in EPA per play, and Steve Spagnuolo’s defense always finds a way to step up down the stretch.
3. Baltimore Ravens (Up 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 72%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 8%
Though the win left a lot to be desired in terms of performance, the Ravens have now claimed three straight games and are 4-5, chipping away at the Steelers’ lead in the AFC North. Lamar Jackson (71.3 grade; 20th) and the Ravens’ offense were stifled by the Vikings’ defense, but made their opportunities count by getting Tyler Loop (63.5 grade) into field goal range to convert on 4-of-5 kicks.
4. Detroit Lions (Up 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 83%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 7%
Though this wasn’t the Commanders team of last season, the Lions were able to exact a certain amount of revenge for their loss in the Divisional Round a year ago, trouncing Washington 44-22 on Sunday afternoon. The Lions scored five touchdowns while producing 546 yards of total offense. Jahmyr Gibbs led the charge, carrying the ball 15 times for 142 yards and two touchdowns, earning a 93.7 overall PFF grade. The Lions are at their best when doing business on the ground, and the running game was in full force as they moved to 6-3.
5. Green Bay Packers (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 71%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 5%
Call it back-to-back losses for the Packers, who’ve now just scored 20 points in their last two games after the 10-7 defeat to the Eagles on Monday Night Football. In fairness to the Packers, the Eagles are a far tougher proposition than the Panthers, and holding one of the best offenses to just 10 total points in a primetime game is impressive. But, the offensive concerns for the Packers are real. They’re 15th in EPA per play over the last month, yet have been aided by one of the best defenses in the NFL. The Packers are too talented for moments like this.
6. Philadelphia Eagles (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 98%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 9%
A big win for the Eagles on Monday Night Football against the Packers. It wasn’t pretty, as has often been the case for the Eagles in 2025, but they got the job done against impressive competition in a tight 10-7 victory. Philadelphia is now 7-2 and has a 98% chance of winning the NFC East — no team has better odds of winning its division in 2025. The reigning Super Bowl Champions are rolling, but face a tough test against the Lions in Week 11.
7. Buffalo Bills (Down 6)
Chance of making playoffs: 85%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 8%
There’s no other way to describe the Bills’ 30-13 loss to the Dolphins other than embarrassing. The Bills were rocked on both sides of the ball, as the defense — which ranks 18th in EPA per play allowed — allowed seven yards per play, while the offense turned the ball over three times. Conventional wisdom would suggest the Bills would go from strength to strength after a dominant display against the Chiefs a week ago, but the defensive fragilities reared their ugly head again. We also got an uncharacteristic collapse from the offense.
8. Seattle Seahawks (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 90%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 6%
The Seahawks blew past the Arizona Cardinals to move to 7-2 on the season and come just a little bit closer to making the playoffs for the first time since 2022. This Seahawks team is relentless on both sides of the ball and is top 10 in EPA per play allowed on defense. Two excellent defensive scores lifted Seattle. Although Sam Darnold (93.1 grade; 1st) only attempted 12 passes, the passing game looked like one of the best in the NFL — just as it has all season.
9. Denver Broncos (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 92%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 8%
The Broncos have been labeled by many as “one of the worst 8-2 teams in NFL history” after their narrow, uninspiring win against the Las Vegas Raiders on Thursday Night Football. Quarterback Bo Nix posted a 59.8 overall PFF grade in the win, and the offense — led by the second-year signal caller — fails to make you believe, even if the defense is second in EPA per play allowed and has 54 sacks on the year. Denver is on a historic pace, but because of the limitations of that offense, it could fall on deaf ears. At the end of the day, the Broncos are 8-2, and that’s what matters.
10. Los Angeles Chargers (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 83%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 6%
Not the best performance from the Chargers offense, as Justin Herbert (87.4; 4th) struggled behind an offensive line that’s allowed the second-highest pressure rate in the NFL (40.6%). But, the defense locked in and helped shut down the Steelers’ defense. As a result, the Chargers moved to 7-3, keeping within a game of the Broncos and increasing their playoff odds to 83%. Los Angeles of old would likely lose games like this.
11. Houston Texans (Up 8)
Chance of making playoffs: 35%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%
Down 19 points against the Jaguars in the fourth quarter on Sunday, and clinging to their last morsel of hope, the Texans looked all but dead and buried without C.J. Stroud (68.3 grade; 24th). However, backup Davis Mills — who secured a 54.7 PFF passing grade — and the Texans’ offense rallied in the final frame to take the lead, with the defense shutting the game down in the final moments. The Texans crept to 4-5 and gave themselves a tiny bit of life in the playoff hunt. It’s the hope that kills you.
12. Indianapolis Colts (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 86%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 5%
What we witnessed early on Sunday was one of the best individual performances in NFL history, let alone on the international stage. Colts running back Jonathan Taylor erupted again, carrying the ball 32 times for 244 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 7.3 yards per carry and generating an 81.4 overall PFF grade. The Colts would have been dead in the water without Taylor, defeating the Falcons 31-25 in overtime in Berlin. Taylor continues to aggressively make his case for the first non-quarterback to win the MVP since Adrian Peterson in 2012, helping lift Indianapolis to an 8-2 record. We can dream, right?
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Down 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 91%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%
The Buccaneers haven’t felt like the same put-together unit from early in the season since their Week 7 loss to the Lions. In the time after that moment, the Buccaneers are 29th in EPA per play, and Baker Mayfield — who has been an MVP candidate — has recorded a 58.1 overall PFF grade, 27th among quarterbacks. A garbage-time touchdown gave the Buccaneers a shot against the Patriots, but the 28-23 loss moved them back to 6-3. However, they’re still safe atop the NFC South.
14. Minnesota Vikings (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 19%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
It’s still early days in the J.J. McCarthy era, and the 2024 first-round pick has shown flashes of arm talent and mobility that’ll serve him well at the NFL level. But, Sunday’s loss to the Ravens was a stark reminder that growing pains are inevitable. How much blame can be put on McCarthy for the 13 total penalties, a large portion of which were false start penalties at home? Who knows. But, there were still positives to take from the game. McCarthy totaled four big-time throws in the loss, the most he’s had in a game this season.
15. New England Patriots (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 93%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 4%
The Patriots proved something on Sunday in their 28-23 win on the road against the Buccaneers: they don’t need Drake Maye (83.6 grade; 7th) to be perfect to win. Maye notched a 66.1 overall PFF grade, his third-lowest of the season, and had enough moments to help the Patriots move to 8-2. Yet, it was the breakout of running back TreVeyon Henderson, who posted a 67.7 grade, that rubber-stamped the victory. Henderson carried the ball 14 times for 147 yards and two touchdowns and broke big on a game-winning 69-yard scoring scamper late in the fourth quarter.
16. San Francisco 49ers (Down 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 78%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
The banged-up 49ers looked thoroughly outmatched for the first time this season, losing 42-26 to a Rams team that has a case to be one of the best teams in the NFL. Quarterback Mac Jones (76.8 grade; 11th) and the passing game looked good, though the group was playing from behind for the entirety of the game. As the ambiguity surrounding Brock Purdy (66.7 grade) continues, it’s more likely we’ll see Jones the rest of the way. Though the 49ers are hurt, they’re still 6-4 and have a 78% chance of making the playoffs. They’re in good standing.
17. Chicago Bears (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 45%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
The 2025 Chicago Bears are the never-say-die team. They’ve won six of their last seven games, and in the last two weeks have just found ways to keep coming back from the dead. This time, they scored two touchdowns in the final 4 minutes against the Giants to win 24-20. Quarterback Caleb Williams earned an 81.1 overall PFF grade in the win, delivering one of the best performances of his career as the Bears inched to 6-3 on the season. Chicago still has the toughest remaining schedule in the NFL, which is reflected in the fact that the Bears only have a 45% chance of making the playoffs. However, a victory on the road against the Vikings in Week 11 will go a long way toward strengthening those odds.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers (Down 3)
Chance of making playoffs: 36%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
The Steelers have lost three of their last four games, and their grip on the top of the AFC North is slipping. They’re now 5-4 with a 36% chance of making the playoffs. The Ravens are coming, and with performances like the ones we saw against the Chargers in the 25-10 loss, the Steelers are going to struggle to hold Baltimore back. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers (63.6 grade; 29th) was ineffective against pressure, compiling a 27.0 overall PFF grade, and three total turnovers contributed to the downfall of the offense.
19. Jacksonville Jaguars (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 39%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
A disastrous end to what looked to be a non-fuss win for the Jaguars on the road in Week 10. Jacksonville was cruising heading into the fourth quarter with a 19-point lead. It hadn’t always been pretty. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence recorded a season-low 48.8 overall PFF grade and had five turnover-worthy plays, but the Jaguars looked to be on their way. However, the offense couldn’t see the game out, and the defense gave up 26 points in the fourth quarter; Jacksonville ultimately lost 36-29. Duval County will be rightly seething. The Jaguars are 5-4 and still in the playoff mix, but this is as low as it gets.
20. Miami Dolphins (Up 8)
Chance of making playoffs: 1%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Dolphins caused the shocker of Week 10, crushing the Bills 30-13 to get one over on their AFC East rivals. The offense ran riot over the Buffalo defense, especially on the ground, averaging seven yards per play. Likewise, De’Von Achane posted an 85.5 overall PFF grade, rushing for 174 yards and two touchdowns. With so much made of the Dolphins’ struggles in 2025 and what lies down the road, any sort of reminder that there’s still hope is nothing but positive. Even the Miami defense, which has underwhelmed for so much of this season, is 14th in EPA over the last month.
21. Atlanta Falcons (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 8%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Falcons took the lead with just under 2 minutes remaining in Germany, and it looked like they’d be heading back to Atlanta with a win to snap a three-game losing streak. Instead, the Colts drove down the field to kick a game-tying field goal before going on to prevail in overtime 31-25. The Falcons haven’t won since Week 6 against the Bills, but are, at the very least, a top-20 unit in EPA on both sides of the ball. They should be in a better position than they are, and maybe big questions need to be asked.
22. Dallas Cowboys (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 4%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The dichotomy of the Cowboys in 2025 is what will likely keep them from making a real run at the playoffs. The offense, led by Dak Prescott (87.8 grade; 3rd), has so clearly been one of the best in the NFL — though it should be said that the offense has been less effective in the two games preceding its Week 10 bye. But the defense, arguably the worst in the NFL, has held Dallas back. The Cowboys return to action in Week 11 with a 4% chance of making the playoffs, and will hope to kick back into gear against the Las Vegas Raiders.
23. Arizona Cardinals (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 2%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Cardinals, now actively moving away from the Kyler Murray era, weren’t afforded much of a chance against the Seahawks in Week 10; they were down 35-0 in the second quarter before they even had time to breathe. It was damage limitation for quarterback Jacoby Brissett (66.4 grade; 25th) and Arizona, who managed to score 22 points but are now 3-6 on the year. The vibes in Arizona can’t be great right now, and like a few other underwhelming teams in the NFL, change could be on the horizon. It all depends on what form.
24. Las Vegas Raiders (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
This isn’t what Pete Carroll signed up for, but maybe it’s what was always destined to be. The quality of personnel on both sides of the ball, particularly on the offensive line (second-most sacks allowed, seventh-highest pressure rate allowed) and in the secondary (46.2 coverage grade; 30th), was potentially overestimated. As a result, the Raiders’ offense is one of the worst in the NFL (30th in EPA per play), and the defense is top-heavy, relying on big hitters like Maxx Crosby (75.5 grade; 27th) to cover the cracks. The Raiders are 2-7, languishing at the bottom of the AFC West and heading toward a top-five pick. Again.
25. Washington Commanders (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 1%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Commanders’ offense has been more than functional with Marcus Mariota (84.1 grade; 6th) under center, but the group stood little chance against a rampant Lions team out for revenge on Sunday. The Commanders believe that Jayden Daniels (76.7 grade; 12th) could return at some point later in the season, but at 3-7, there’s little reason to suggest that they should rush him back — especially with historical comparisons in mind. The big worry isn’t so much the workings of the offense, anyway. It’s the defense that ranks 31st in EPA per play allowed.
26. Cincinnati Bengals (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 8%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The margin for error for the Bengals was already slim, and they headed into the bye week with just a 6% chance of making the playoffs after two defensive slip-ups in the last two weeks. After the dust settled on Week 10, the Bengals now have a 8% chance — but with Joe Burrow (78.8 grade) nearing a return, maybe Bengals fans will start to dream. For there to be any sort of optimism, though, an underperforming defense that’s dead-last in EPA per play allowed has to improve.
27. Carolina Panthers (Down 6)
Chance of making playoffs: 15%
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
For all of the Panthers’ impressive wins this season, they’ve still got plenty of moments like these locked in the chamber. A victory, or at the absolute minimum, a strong performance against a 1-8 Saints team felt like a given. Instead, we got neither. The Panthers were held to just seven points and 3.5 yards per play, losing 17-7 to a New Orleans squad with a rookie quarterback making just his second career start. Maybe the expectations for Carolina are too high. The offense is 26th in EPA per play, and Bryce Young’s 59.5 overall PFF grade is 31st among quarterbacks. But it’s Year 3 now. This is the time.
28. New York Giants (Down 2)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
After another fourth-quarter collapse, the Giants’ brass pulled the trigger on firing head coach Brian Daboll and now usher in a new era. Daboll and the Giants had shown promise, especially with quarterback Jaxson Dart (71.5 grade; 19th) under center. But too many collapses, and too many mistakes in recent seasons, led the Giants and Daboll too far down the garden path. The 24-20 loss to the Bears on Sunday, after the Giants led by 10 points in the fourth quarter, was the final straw.
29. Cleveland Browns (No change)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Browns‘ defense did the business against the Jets, holding them to just 169 offensive yards and 3.6 yards per play, but still lost the game. The reason? Special teams. The Browns surrendered back-to-back special teams touchdowns on a kickoff return and a punt return, and flatlined on offense for most of the game. The defense, which ranks fourth in EPA per play allowed, deserves better.
30. New York Jets (No change)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The list of NFL teams to score 27 points while generating 42 passing yards will be very short, but the Jets added themselves to that on Sunday afternoon against the Browns. The new Jets era looked ugly, but the 27-20 win was a timely reminder that anything can happen in the NFL. After an 0-7 start to the season, New York has won back-to-back games. The Jets are still in the pits, but winning cures all.
31. Tennessee Titans (No change)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
If the Titans’ ambitions are to aim for the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, everything went their way during the Week 10 bye. Wins for the Saints and Jets mean the Titans are now the only one-win team remaining in the NFL. It doesn’t look like that’ll change any time soon. The offense is dead last in EPA per play, and the defense sits bottom-five in EPA per play allowed.
32. New Orleans Saints (No change)
Chance of making playoffs:
Chance of winning Super Bowl:
The Saints looked good in quarterback Tyler Shough’s second career start. Shough earned a 76.8 overall PFF grade, completing 70.4% of his passes for 282 yards and two touchdowns and averaging 10.4 yards per attempt. The 17-7 victory against the Panthers was the Saints’ second of the season. If Shough continues to perform as he did on Sunday, maybe the second-round pick has a future under center for the franchise.
