Entertainment US

2026 Oscar Predictions for 21 Categories Ahead of Thanksgiving

A NOTE FROM SCOTT Since our last check-in, just about every current Oscar hopeful descended on Hollywood for the Academy’s Governors Awards on Nov. 16. They ostensibly were there to celebrate honorees Tom Cruise, Dolly Parton, Wynn Thomas and Debbie Allen, but let’s be honest: Leonardo DiCaprio (Warners’ One Battle After Another), Jennifer Lawrence (Mubi’s Die My Love), Adam Sandler (Netflix’s Jay Kelly) and Ariana Grande (Universal’s Wicked: For Good) don’t show up to the ceremony every year. They — and literally hundreds of others with varying awards prospects — were on the red carpet and in the ballroom because they’re great places to see and be seen by Oscar voters.

So, too, was the American Cinematheque Award ceremony on Nov. 20, where Michael B. Jordan, star of Warners’ Sinners, was honored, and those toasting him included Sinners writer/director Ryan Coogler and actors Miles Caton and Delroy Lindo; Bradley Cooper, writer/director/star of Searchlight’s Is This Thing On?; and Tessa Thompson, star/producer of Amazon/MGM’s Hedda. It was but one of numerous Sinners-related events in recent days. Among others, Coogler received the “key” to Warner Bros. at the Somerville restaurant in the Windsor Hills part of LA — which was transformed into the Juke Joint, the Southern blues hall in the movie — on Nov. 21, with the rest of his principal collaborators in attendance. And on Nov. 22, they all turned up at a brunch at the Four Seasons in Beverly Hills.

Warners’ other major horse in the race, One Battle After Another, may be the frontrunner according to most prognosticators, including yours truly, and indeed it got another nod of approval last week from the retiree demographic with a field-leading eight AARP Award nominations. But Sinners, which cost a lot less ($90 million vs. $140 million, pre-marketing) and has grossed a lot more ($368 million vs. $202 million worldwide), clearly won’t be conceding the pole position without a fight. Another sign of its strength: it landed a field-leading 13 mentions across the Critics Choice Association’s 11 shortlists for below-the-line Critics Choice Award nominations, including at least one in every category. (Full disclosure: I served on the committee that determined those shortlists.)

A24’s Marty Supreme, in addition to having an orange blimp with its name on it flying all around LA, has finally begun to screen more heavily for the industry, and is going over like gangbusters. On Nov. 13, it played at the DGA, after which Bill Simmons moderated a Q&A. The following night, despite pouring rain, it filled the 952-seat David Geffen Theatre at the Academy Museum of Motion Pictures — attendees included Jennifer Lawrence, Mikey Madison, Cara Delevingne, Shawn Mendes and Chase Sui Wonders — after which I did a Q&A with writer/director/editor Josh Safdie, writer/editor Ronald Bronstein and stars Timothée Chalamet, Gwyneth Paltrow and Odessa A’zion, among others.

On Nov. 21, the Academy announced the longlists — meaning, the lists of all titles that have qualified for consideration — for its best animated feature, best documentary feature and best international feature categories, which numbered 35, 201 and 86, respectively.

Speaking of the doc feature race, that came into clearer focus last week with Netflix’s Apocalypse in the Tropics garnering a field-leading four noms for the International Documentary Association’s IDA Awards (just as one of its subjects, former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro, was arrested for attempting to escape a prison sentence). Another Netflix doc, The Perfect Neighbor, was shortlisted for the best film editing Critic Choice Award, while no other doc landed a spot on any of the organization’s 11 BTL shortlistsn. And the SCAD Savannah Film Festival released this year’s full Docs to Watch Panel, which was moderated by yours truly and featured the directors of 10 top docs — including the aforementioned two — in conversation about their films. Don’t miss it!

As for the general public? Last weekend, they turned out in mass for the theatrical opening weekend of Wicked: For Good, to the tune of $147 million in the U.S. and $223 million globally, marking the biggest debut ever for a Broadway adaptation and the third-best for any musical. (Critics, it must be noted, were less enthusiastic: it’s now at 70 percent on Rotten Tomatoes.) In terms of streaming, Frankenstein was again the people’s choice on Netflix, watched more than any other English-language film, while newcomer Train Dreams, on the back of rave reviews (it’s at 95 percent on Rotten Tomatoes), broke into the top 10.

Finally, the Camerimage festival in Poland, which celebrates cinematography, awarded its top prize, the Golden Frog, to Judith Kaufmann for her work on Music Box’s Late Shift, the Swiss entry for the best international feature competition, and its second-place prize, the Silver Frog, to Fabian Gamper for his work on Mubi’s Sound of Falling, the German entry. Will they be able to challenge, for Oscar nominations, the category’s presumptive frontrunners, including Focus’ Hamnet, One Battle After Another and Frankenstein? Time will tell.

Have a happy Thanksgiving!

PLEASE REMEMBER: Scott’s forecasts do not necessarily reflect his personal preferences. His aim is not to advocate for what he thinks the members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences should do, but rather to project what they will do. He arrives at his projections by screening many films, analyzing their campaigns, speaking with voters and studying relevant history and stats.

  • Best Picture

    Image Credit: Netflix

    Frontrunners
    1. One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
    2. Hamnet (Focus)
    3. Sinners (Warner Bros.)
    4. Marty Supreme (A24)
    5. Sentimental Value (Neon)
    6. Frankenstein (Netflix)
    7. Jay Kelly (Netflix)
    8. Train Dreams (Netflix)
    9. Wicked: For Good (Universal)
    10. F1 (Apple/Warner Bros.)

    Major Threats
    11. It Was Just An Accident (Neon)
    12. A House of Dynamite (Netflix)
    13. Bugonia (Focus)
    14. Rental Family (Searchlight)
    15. No Other Choice (Neon)

    Possibilities
    16. The Secret Agent (Neon)
    17. Nuremberg (Sony Classics)
    18. Weapons (Warner Bros.)
    19. Hedda (Amazon/MGM)
    20. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century)

    Long Shots
    21. Roofman (Paramount)
    22. Dead Man’s Wire (Row K)
    23. The Smashing Machine (A24)
    24. Song Sung Blue (Focus)
    25. Is This Thing On? (Searchlight)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century)

  • Best Director

    Image Credit: Neon

    Frontrunners
    1. Paul Thomas Anderson for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
    2. Ryan Coogler for Sinners (Warner Bros.)
    3. Chloé Zhao for Hamnet (Focus)
    4. Joachim Trier for Sentimental Value (Neon)
    5. Guillermo del Toro for Frankenstein (Netflix) — podcast 1 and 2

    Major Threats
    6. Jafar Panahi for It Was Just an Accident (Neon)
    7. Josh Safdie for Marty Supreme (A24)
    8. Park Chan-wook for No Other Choice (Neon)
    9. Kathryn Bigelow for A House of Dynamite (Netflix)
    10. Noah Baumbach for Jay Kelly (Netflix)
    11. Richard Linklater for Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) — podcast

    Possibilities
    12. Yorgos Lanthimos for Bugonia (Focus)
    13. Clint Bentley for Train Dreams (Netflix)
    14. Jon M. Chu for Wicked: For Good (Universal)
    15. Kleber Mendonça Filho for The Secret Agent (Neon)
    16. Joseph Kosinski for F1 (Apple/Warner Bros.)

    Long Shots
    17. Gus Van Sant for Dead Man’s Wire (Row K)
    18. Zach Cregger for Weapons (Warner Bros.)
    19. Nia DaCosta for Hedda (Amazon/MGM)
    20. Benny Safdie for The Smashing Machine (A24)
    21. Scott Cooper for Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    James Cameron for Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century)

  • Best Actor

    Image Credit: Jason McDonald/Searchlight Pictures

    Frontrunners
    1. Leonardo DiCaprio for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
    2. Timothée Chalamet for Marty Supreme (A24) — podcast
    3. Wagner Moura for The Secret Agent (Neon)
    4. Michael B. Jordan for Sinners (Warner Bros.) — podcast
    5. George Clooney for Jay Kelly (Netflix) — podcast 1 and 2

    Major Threats
    6. Dwayne Johnson for The Smashing Machine (A24) — podcast
    7. Joel Edgerton for Train Dreams (Netflix) — podcast
    8. Jesse Plemons for Bugonia (Focus) — podcast
    9. Jeremy Allen White for Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century)
    10. Ethan Hawke for Blue Moon (Sony Classics) — podcast
    11. Brendan Fraser for Rental Family (Searchlight) — podcast

    Possibilities
    12. Oscar Isaac for Frankenstein (Netflix) — podcast
    13. Channing Tatum for Roofman (Paramount) — podcast
    14. Will Arnett for Is This Thing On? (Searchlight)
    15. Bill Skarsgård for Dead Man’s Wire (Row K)
    16. Daniel Day-Lewis for Anemone (Focus)

    Long Shots
    17. Brad Pitt for F1 (Apple/Warner Bros.)
    18. Toni Servillo for La Grazia (Mubi)
    19. Lee Byung-hun for No Other Choice (Neon)
    20. Russell Crowe for Nuremberg (Sony Classics)
    21. Hugh Jackman for Song Sung Blue (Focus) — podcast

  • Best Actress

    Image Credit: A24

    Frontrunners
    1. Jessie Buckley for Hamnet (Focus)
    2. Renate Reinsve for Sentimental Value (Neon)
    3. Chase Infiniti for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
    4. Emma Stone for Bugonia (Focus) — podcast
    5. Cynthia Erivo for Wicked: For Good (Universal) — podcast

    Major Threats
    6. Sydney Sweeney for Christy (Black Bear) — podcast
    7. Rose Byrne for If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (A24)
    8. Jennifer Lawrence for Die My Love (Mubi) — podcast
    9. Kate Hudson for Song Sung Blue (Focus) — podcast
    10. Tessa Thompson for Hedda (Amazon/MGM)

    Possibilities
    11. Amanda Seyfried for The Testament of Ann Lee (Searchlight) — podcast 1 and 2
    12. Julia Roberts for After the Hunt (Amazon/MGM) — podcast
    13. Lucy Liu for Rosemead (Vertical) — podcast
    14. Claire Foy for H Is for Hawk (Roadside) — podcast

    Long Shots
    15. Laura Dern for Is This Thing On? (Searchlight)
    16. June Squibb for Eleanor the Great (Sony Classics)
    17. Eva Victor for Sorry, Baby (A24)
    18. Jodie Foster for A Private Life (Sony Classics) — podcast

  • Best Supporting Actor

    Image Credit: Lionsgate/Courtesy Everett Collection

    Frontrunners
    1. Stellan Skarsgård for Sentimental Value (Neon) — podcast
    2. Sean Penn for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) — podcast
    3. Paul Mescal for Hamnet (Focus)
    4. Benicio Del Toro for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) — podcast
    5. Jacob Elordi for Frankenstein (Netflix) — podcast

    Major Threats
    6. Adam Sandler for Jay Kelly (Netflix) — podcast
    7. Billy Crudup for Jay Kelly (Netflix)
    8. Miles Caton for Sinners (Warner Bros.)
    9. Delroy Lindo for Sinners (Warner Bros.) — podcast
    10. Jack O’Connell for Sinners (Warner Bros.)

    Possibilities
    11. Jeremy Strong for Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century) — podcast
    12. Mark Hamill for The Life of Chuck (Neon) — podcast
    13. William H. Macy for Train Dreams (Netflix)
    14. Kevin O’Leary for Marty Supreme (A24)
    15. Jacobi Jupe for Hamnet (Focus)

    Long Shots
    16. Jonathan Bailey for Wicked: For Good (Universal)
    17. Ben Foster for Christy (Black Bear)
    18. David Jonsson for The Long Walk (Lionsgate)
    19. Damson Idris for F1: The Movie (Apple/Warner Bros.)
    20. Andrew Scott for Blue Moon (Sony Classics)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Alexander Skarsgård for Pillion (A24)

  • Best Supporting Actress

    Image Credit: Warner Bros. Pictures

    Frontrunners
    1. Ariana Grande for Wicked: For Good (Universal) — podcast
    2. Amy Madigan for Weapons (Warner Bros.)
    3. Teyana Taylor for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
    4. Elle Fanning for Sentimental Value (Neon) — podcast
    5. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas for Sentimental Value (Neon)

    Major Threats
    6. Regina Hall for One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
    7. Hailee Steinfeld for Sinners (Warner Bros.) — podcast
    8. Wunmi Mosaku for Sinners (Warner Bros.)
    9. Mia Goth for Frankenstein (Netflix)
    10. Odessa A’zion for Marty Supreme (A24)

    Possibilities
    11. Gwyneth Paltrow for Marty Supreme (A24)
    12. Emily Blunt for The Smashing Machine (A24) — podcast
    13. Emily Watson for Hamnet (Focus)
    14. Zoey Deutch for Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) — podcast
    15. Jennifer Lopez for Kiss of the Spider Woman (Roadside) — podcast

    Long Shots
    16. Kerry Condon for Train Dreams (Netflix)
    17. Felicity Jones for Train Dreams (Netflix)
    18. Odessa Young for Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century)
    19. Nina Hoss for Hedda (Amazon/MGM)
    20. Kirsten Dunst for Roofman (Paramount) — podcast

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Sigourney Weaver for Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century)

  • Best Adapted Screenplay

    Image Credit: Agata Grzybowska / © 2025 FOCUS FEATURES LLC

    Frontrunners
    1. Hamnet (Focus) — Chloé Zhao
    2. One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) — Paul Thomas Anderson
    3. Frankenstein (Netflix) — Guillermo del Toro — podcast 1 and 2
    4. Bugonia (Focus) — Will Tracy
    5. Train Dreams (Netflix) — Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar

    Major Threats
    6. Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) — Rian Johnson
    7. No Other Choice (Neon) — Park Chan-wook, Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi & Don McKellar
    8. Nuremberg (Sony Classics) — James Vanderbilt
    9. The Smashing Machine (A24) — Benny Safdie
    10. Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere (20th Century) — Scott Cooper

    Possibilities
    11. Wicked: For Good (Universal) — Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman
    12. Hedda (Amazon/MGM) — Nia DaCosta
    13. Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) — Holly Gent, Michèle Halberstadt, Laetitia Masson & Vincent Palmo
    14. The Life of Chuck (Neon) — Mike Flanagan

    Long Shots
    15. Downton Abbey: The Grand Finale (Focus) — Julian Fellowes — podcast
    16. Highest 2 Lowest (A24) — Alan Fox
    17. Die My Love (Mubi) — Alice Birch, Lynne Ramsay & Enda Walsh
    18. Ballad of a Small Player (Netflix) — Rowan Joffé

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century) — James Cameron, Rick Jaffa & Amanda Silver

  • Best Original Screenplay

    Image Credit: Warner Bros. Pictures

    Frontrunners
    1. Sinners (Warner Bros.) — Ryan Coogler
    2. Sentimental Value (Neon) — Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt
    3. Marty Supreme (A24) — Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie
    4. It Was Just an Accident (Neon) — Jafar Panahi
    5. Jay Kelly (Netflix) — Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer

    Major Threats
    6. A House of Dynamite (Netflix) — Noah Oppenheim
    7. Weapons (Warner Bros.) — Zach Cregger
    8. The Secret Agent (Neon) — Kleber Mendonça Filho
    9. Rental Family (Searchlight) — Stephen Blahut & Hikari

    Possibilities
    10. Blue Moon (Sony Classics) — Robert Kaplow
    11. Dead Man’s Wire (Row K) — Austin Kolodney
    12. Roofman (Paramount) — Derek Cianfrance & Kirt Gunn
    13. Is This Thing On? (Searchlight) — Will Arnett, Mark Chappell & Bradley Cooper

    Long Shots
    14. If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (A24) — Mary Bronstein
    15. Sorry, Baby (A24) — Eva Victor
    17. Left-Handed Girl (Netflix) — Sean Baker & Shih-Ching Tsou — podcast (Baker)
    16. Materialists (A24) — Celine Song

  • Best International Feature

    Image Credit: GKIDS

    Frontrunners
    1. Norway — Sentimental Value (Neon)
    2. France — It Was Just an Accident (Neon)
    3. South Korea — No Other Choice (Neon)
    4. Brazil — The Secret Agent (Neon)
    5. Ukraine — 2000 Meters to Andriivka (PBS)

    Major Threats
    6. Spain — Sirāt (Neon)
    7. Taiwan — Left-Handed Girl (Netflix)
    8. Belgium — Young Mothers (Music Box)
    9. Tunisia — The Voice of Hind Rajab (Willa)
    10. Japan — Kokuho (GKIDS)

    Possibilities
    11. Argentina — Belén (Amazon)
    12. Iraq — The President’s Cake (Sony Classics)
    13. North Macedonia — The Tale of Silyan (Nat Geo)
    14. Germany — Sound of Falling (Mubi)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Canada — The Things You Kill (Cineverse)
    Chile — The Mysterious Gaze of the Flamingo (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    China — Dead to Rights (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Czech Republic — I’m Not Everything I Want to Be (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Denmark — Mr. Nobody Against Putin (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Hungary — Orphan (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Iceland — The Love That Remains (Janus)
    Ireland — Sanatorium (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Israel — The Sea (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Italy — Familia (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Jordan — All That’s Left of You (Watermelon/Visibility)
    Mexico — We Shall Not Be Moved (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Palestine — Palestine 36 (Watermelon)
    Philippines — Magellan (Janus)
    Poland — Franz (Cohen Media Group)
    Senegal — Demba (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Switzerland — Late Shift (Music Box)
    Thailand — A Useful Ghost (Cineverse)

  • Best Documentary Feature

    Image Credit: Tribeca

    Frontrunners
    1. The Perfect Neighbor (Netflix)
    2. 2000 Meters to Andriivka (PBS)
    3. Orwell: 2+2=5 (Neon)
    4. Apocalypse in the Tropics (Netflix)
    5. The Alabama Solution (HBO)

    Major Threats
    6. My Mom Jayne (HBO)
    7. Cover-Up (Netflix)
    8. Come See Me in the Good Light (Apple)
    9. Riefenstahl (Kino Lorber)
    10. Deaf President Now! (Apple)
    11. Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk (Kino Lorber)
    12. It’s Never Over, Jeff Buckley (Magnolia)

    Possibilities
    13. The Tale of Silyan (Nat Geo)
    14. Natchez (Oscilloscope)
    15. The Man Who Saves the World? (Area 23a)
    16. Predators (MTV)
    17. Holding Liat (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    18. Prime Minister (Magnolia)

    Long Shots
    19. Folktales (Magnolia)
    20. Coexistence, My Ass! (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    21. Stiller & Meara: Nothing Is Lost (Apple)
    22. One to One: John & Yoko (Magnolia)
    23. Grand Theft Hamlet (Mubi)
    24. Diane Warren: Relentless (MasterClass)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    The 6 Billion Dollar Man (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    The Age of Disclosure (Relentless)
    Always (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    American Sons (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Antidote (PBS)
    Architecton (A24)
    Art for Everybody (Fourth Art)
    Below the Clouds (Mubi)
    Blknws: Terms & Conditions (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    BTS Army: Forever We Are Young (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Can’t Look Away: The Case Against Social Media (Jolt)
    Champions of the Golden Valley (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Child of Dust (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Cutting Through Rocks (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    The Dating Game (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    El Canto de Las Manos (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Endless Cookie (Obscured)
    Facing War (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Food Delivery: Fresh from the West Philippine Sea (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Heightened Scrutiny (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    The Last Class (Abramorama)
    The Librarians (Independent Lens)
    Life After (Multitude)
    Love+War (Nat Geo)
    Marlee Matlin: Not Alone Anymore (Kino Lorber)
    Meanwhile (Abramorama)
    Mistress Dispeller (Oscilloscope)
    Mr. Nobody Against Putin (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Night in West Texas (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Norita (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    The Road Between Us: The Ultimate Rescue (Forston Consulting)
    The Rose: Come Back to Me (CJ 4DPlex)
    A Savage Art: The Life & Cartoons of Pat Oliphant (Magnolia)
    Seeds (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Selena y Los Dinos (Netflix)
    Shari & Lamb Chop (Kino Lorber)
    Songs from the Hole (Netflix)
    Stop the Insanity: Finding Susan Powter (Obscured)
    The Stringer (Netflix)
    Third Act (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Timestamp (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Trade Secret (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Trains (EPF Media)
    Viktor (still seeking U.S. distribution)
    Wisdom of Happiness (Abramorama)
    Zodiac Killer Project (Music Box)

  • Best Animated Feature

    Image Credit: Crunchyroll

    Frontrunners
    1. KPop Demon Hunters (Netflix)
    2. Arco (Neon)
    3. In Your Dreams (Netflix)
    4. Elio (Disney/Pixar)

    Major Threats
    5. Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle (Sony)

    Possibilities

    Long Shots
    6. Fixed (Netflix)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    The Bad Guys 2 (Universal)
    ChaO (GKIDS)
    Dog Man (Universal)
    Endless Cookie (Obscured)
    The Legend of Hei 2 (GKIDS)
    Little Amélie or the Character of Rain (GKIDS)
    Lost in Starlight (Netflix)
    A Magnificent Life (Sony Classics)
    Scarlet (Sony Classics)
    The SpongeBob Movie: Search for SquarePants (Paramount)
    Stitch Head (Briarcliff)
    The Twits (Netflix)
    Zootopia 2 (Disney)

  • Best Casting

    Image Credit: Courtesy of Searchlight

    Frontrunners
    1. Sinners (Warner Bros.) — Francine Maisler
    2. One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) — Cassandra Kulukundis
    3. Hamnet (Focus) — Nina Gold
    4. Marty Supreme (A24) — Jennifer Venditti
    5. Jay Kelly (Netflix) — Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold

    Major Threats
    6. Wicked: For Good (Universal) — Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey
    7. A House of Dynamite (Netflix) — Susanne Scheel
    8. Weapons (Warner Bros.) — Allison Jones
    9. Sentimental Value (Neon) — Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman
    10. Rental Family (Searchlight) — Kei Kawamura & Yumi Takada
    11. Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) — Stéphane Batut
    12. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century) — Francine Maisler

    Possibilities
    13. Frankenstein (Netflix) — Robin D. Cook
    14. The Secret Agent (Neon) — Gabriel Domingues
    15. Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) — Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu
    16. Is This Thing On? (Searchlight) — Shayna Markowitz
    17. The Life of Chuck (Neon) — Anne McCarthy, Morgan Robbins & Kellie Roy
    18. Dead Man’s Wire (Row K) — Kathy Campbell

    Long Shots
    19. Bugonia (Focus) — Jennifer Venditti
    20. F1 (Apple/Warner Bros.) — Lucy Bevan & Emily Brockmann
    21. Train Dreams (Netflix) — Nike Imoru & Avy Kaufman
    22. Roofman (Paramount) — Bonnie Timmermann
    23. The Long Walk (Lionsgate) — Rich Delia
    24. Song Sung Blue (Focus) — Lindsay Graham & Mary Vernieu

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century) — Margery Simkin

  • Best Cinematography

    Image Credit: Columbia Pictures/Courtesy Everett Collection

    Frontrunners
    1. Hamnet (Focus) — Lukasz Zal
    2. One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) — Michael Bauman
    3. Frankenstein (Netflix) — Dan Laustsen
    4. F1 (Apple) — Claudio Miranda
    5. Sinners (Warner Bros.) — Autumn Durald Arkapaw

    Major Threats
    6. Train Dreams (Netflix) — Adolpho Veloso
    7. Marty Supreme (A24) — Darius Khondji
    8. Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) — David Chambille
    9. Jay Kelly (Netflix) — Linus Sandgren
    10. A House of Dynamite (Netflix) — Barry Ackroyd
    11. Wicked: For Good (Universal) — Alice Brooks

    Possibilities
    12. No Other Choice (Neon) — Kim Woo-hyung
    13. Weapons (Warner Bros.) — Larkin Seiple
    14. Sentimental Value (Neon) — Kasper Tuxen
    15. Hedda (Amazon/MGM) — Sean Bobbitt
    16. Bugonia (Focus) — Robbie Ryan
    17. If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (A24) — Christopher Messina
    18. Late Shift (Music Box) — Judith Kaufmann

    Long Shots
    19. Sound of Falling (Mubi) — Fabian Gamper
    20. 28 Years Later (Sony) — Anthony Dod Mantle
    21. The Smashing Machine (A24) — Maceo Bishop
    22. Ballad of a Small Player (Netflix) — James Friend
    23. Is This Thing On? (Searchlight) — Matthew Libatique
    24. Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere (20th Century) — Masanobu Takayanagi
    25. The Secret Agent (Neon) — Evgenia Alexandrova

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century) — Russell Carpenter

  • Best Costume Design

    Image Credit: 20th Century

    Frontrunners
    1. Sinners (Warner Bros.) — Ruth E. Carter (podcast)
    2. Wicked: For Good (Universal) — Paul Tazewell
    3. Frankenstein (Netflix) — Kate Hawley
    4. Hedda (Amazon/MGM) — Lindsay Pugh
    5. Hamnet (Focus) — Malgosia Turzanska

    Major Threats
    6. Kiss of the Spider Woman (Roadside) — Colleen Atwood & Christine Cantella
    7. One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) — Colleen Atwood
    8. Marty Supreme (A24) — Miyako Bellizzi
    9. The Testament of Ann Lee (Searchlight) — Małgorzata Karpiuk
    10. The Fantastic Four: First Steps (Disney) — Alexandra Byrne

    Possibilities
    11. Kokuho (GKIDS) — Kumiko Ogawa
    12. Downton Abbey (Focus) — Anna Robbins
    13. The Phoenecian Scheme (Focus) — Milena Canonero
    14. Song Sung Blue (Focus) — Ernesto Martinez
    15. The Secret Agent (Neon) — Rita Azevedo

    Long Shots
    16. Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) — Pascaline Chavanne
    17. Nuremberg (Sony Classics) — Bartholomew Cariss
    18. Train Dreams (Netflix) — Malgosia Turzanska
    19. Ballad of a Small Player (Netflix) — Lisy Christl
    20. F1: The Movie (Apple/Warner Bros.) — Julian Day

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century) — Deborah L. Scott

  • Best Film Editing

    Image Credit: Netflix

    Frontrunners
    1. F1: The Movie (Apple/Warner Bros.) — Stephen Mirrione
    2. One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) — Andy Jurgensen
    3. Sinners (Warner Bros.) — Michael Shawver
    4. Marty Supreme (A24) — Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie
    5. Frankenstein (Netflix) — Evan Schiff

    Major Threats
    6. Hamnet (Focus) — Affonso Gonçalves & Chloé Zhao
    7. A House of Dynamite (Netflix) — Kirk Baxter
    8. Sentimental Value (Neon) — Olivier Bugge Coutté
    9. Wicked: For Good (Universal) — Myron Kerstein
    10. Bugonia (Focus) — Yorgos Mavropsaridis
    11. Jay Kelly (Netflix) — Valerio Bonelli & Rachel Durance

    Possibilities
    12. Weapons (Warner Bros.) — Joe Murphy
    13. The Perfect Neighbor (Netflix) — Viridiana Lieberman
    14. No Other Choice (Neon) — Kim Sang-bum
    15. The Secret Agent (Neon) — Matheus Farias & Eduardo Serrano
    16. The Lost Bus (Apple) — Peter M. Dudgeon, William Goldenberg & Paul Rubell

    Long Shots
    17. Dead Man’s Wire (Row K) — Saar Klein
    18. Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) — Catherine Schwartz
    19. Warfare (A24) — Fin Oates
    20. 2000 Meters to Andriivka (PBS) — Michelle Minzer
    21. Sirāt (Neon) — Cristóbal Fernández

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century) — David Brenner, James Cameron, John Refoua & Stephen E. Rivkin

  • Best Makeup and Hairstyling

    Image Credit: Black Bear

    Frontrunners
    1. Frankenstein (Netflix)
    2. The Smashing Machine (A24)
    3. Wicked: For Good (Universal)
    4. Sinners (Warner Bros.)
    5. Weapons (Warner Bros.)

    Major Threats
    28 Years Later (Sony)
    Bugonia (Focus)
    Hedda (Amazon/MGM)
    Kokuho (GKIDS)

    Possibilities
    Kiss of the Spider Woman (Roadside)
    Christy (Black Bear)
    One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
    Predator: Badlands (20th Century)

    Long Shots
    Superman (Warner Bros.)
    The Life of Chuck (Neon)
    Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)
    Blue Moon (Sony Classics)

  • Best Original Score

    Image Credit: Neon

    Frontrunners
    Sinners (Warner Bros.) — Ludwig Göransson
    One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) — Johnny Greenwood
    Hamnet (Focus) — Max Richter
    Frankenstein (Netflix) — Alexandre Desplat
    Jay Kelly (Netflix) — Nicholas Britell

    Major Threats
    F1 (Apple/Warner Bros.) — Hans Zimmer (podcast)
    Hedda (Amazon/MGM) — Hildur Guðnadóttir
    Sirāt (Neon) — Kangding Ray
    Marty Supreme (A24) — Daniel Lopatin
    A House of Dynamite (Netflix) — Volker Bertelmann
    Tron: Ares (Disney) — Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
    Wicked: For Good (Universal) — John Powell and Stephen Schwartz
    Train Dreams (Netflix) — Bryce Dessner

    Possibilities
    After the Hunt (Amazon/MGM) — Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
    Dead Man’s Wire (Row K) — Danny Elfman
    The Testament of Ann Lee (Searchlight) — Daniel Blumberg
    Bugonia (Focus) — Jerskin Fendrix
    Rental Family (Searchlight) – Jónsi and Alex Somers
    Nuremberg (Sony Classics) — Brian Tyler
    Jurassic World Rebirth (Universal) — Alexandre Desplat
    Thunderbolts* (Disney) — Son Lux

    Long Shots
    The Fantastic Four: First Steps (Disney) — Michael Giacchino
    Captain America: Brave New World (Disney) — Laura Karpman
    Ballad of a Small Player (Netflix) — Volker Bertelmann
    Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) — Nathan Johnson
    Superman (Warner Bros.) — David Fleming & John Murphy
    Sentimental Value (Neon) — Hania Rani
    No Other Choice (Neon) — Jo Yeong-wook
    Weapons (Warner Bros.) — Zach Cregger, Hays Holladay & Ryan Holladay

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century) — Simon Franglen

  • Best Original Song

    Image Credit: A24

    Frontrunners
    1. “Golden” from KKPop Demon Hunters (Netflix) — EJAE and Mark Sonnenblick
    2. “I Lied to You” from Sinners (Warner Bros.) — Raphael Saadiq & Ludwig Göransson
    3. “Dear Me” from Diane Warren: Relentless (MasterClass) — Diane Warren (podcast)
    4. “Highest 2 Lowest” from Highest 2 Lowest (A24) — Aiyana-Lee Anderson & Nicole Daciana Anderson
    5. “Drive” from F1: The Movie (Apple/Warner Bros.) — John Mayer, Ed Sheeran & Blake Slatkin

    Major Threats
    6. “No Place Like Home” from Wicked (Universal) — Stephen Schwartz
    7. “The Girl in the Bubble” from Wicked (Universal) — Stephen Schwartz
    8. “Last Time (I Seen the Sun)” from Sinners (Warner Bros.) — Miles Caton, Ludwig Göransson & Alice Smith
    9. “Train Dreams” from Train Dreams (Netflix) — Nick Cave & Bryce Dessner
    10. “Clothed by the Sun” from The Testament of Ann Lee (Searchlight) — Daniel Blumberg

    Possibilities
    11. “Lose My Mind” from F1: The Movie (Warner Bros.) — Grant Boutin, Amala Dlamini aka Doja Cat, Ryan Tedder, Caleb Toliver aka Toliver & Hans Zimmer (podcast)
    12. “Just Keep Watching” from F1: The Movie (Apple/Warner Bros.) — Amy Allen, Tate McRae, Tyler Spry & Ryan Tedder
    13. “As Alive as You Need Me to Be” from Tron: Ares (Disney) — Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
    14. “Salt Then Sour Then Sweet” from Come See Me In the Good Light (Apple) — Sara Bareilles, Brandi Carlile & Andrea Gibson
    15. “My Baby (Got Nothing at All)” from Materialists (A24) — Michelle Zauner aka Japanese Breakfast

    Long Shots
    16. “Trunks” from Highest 2 Lowest (A24) — Rakim Mayers aka A$AP Rocky & Kelvin Krash
    17. “Stolen Tale” from Hedda — Nia DaCosta and Hildur Guðnadóttir
    18. “He Lei Pāpahi No Lilo a me Stitch” from Lilo & Stitch (Disney) — Mark Kealiʻi Hoʻomalu
    19. “My Sweet Beth” from The Naked Gun (Paramount) — Greg Chun & Akiva Schaffer
    20. “John’s Running Song” from The Testament of Ann Lee (Searchlight) — Daniel Blumberg & Mona Fastvold

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    “Baby” from Freakier Friday (Disney) — Sarah Aarons
    “DOA” from Death of a Unicorn (A24) — Annie Clark aka St. Vincent
    “Dream As One” from Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century) — Miley Cyrus, Simon Franglen, Mark Ronson (podcast) and Andrew Wyatt
    “Dying to Live” from Billy Idol Should Be Dead (Fremantle) — Tommy English, Billy Idol, Joe Janiak, J. Ralph (podcast) & Steve Stevens (podcast)
    “Give Your Love” from The Ballad of Wallis Island (Focus) — Tom Basden
    “Let’s Just Rock Again” from Spinal Tap II: The End Continues (Bleecker Street) — Jeffery CJ Vanston
    “Open the Door” from The Twits (Netflix) — David Byrne (podcast) & Hayley Williams
    “The Song (Love Is All)” from O’Dessa (Hulu) — Jason Binnick & Geremy Jasper
    “Through the Long and Lonely Night” from The Legend of Ochi (A24) — David Longstreth
    “Took a Walk” from The Long Walk (Lionsgate) — Collins Obinna Chibueze aka Shaboozey & Stephen Wilson Jr.
    “Zoo” — Zootopia 2 — Shakira, Ed Sheeran & Blake Slatkin

  • Best Production Design

    Image Credit: Paramount

    Frontrunners
    1. Hamnet (Focus) — Fiona Crombie
    2. Sinners (Warner Bros.) — Hannah Beachler
    3. Frankenstein (Netflix) — Tamara Deverell
    4. One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.) — Florencia Martin
    5. Marty Supreme (A24) — Jack Fisk

    Major Threats
    6. F1: The Movie (Apple/Warner Bros.) — Mark Tildesley
    7. Wicked: For Good (Universal) — Nathan Crowley
    8. A House of Dynamite (Netflix) — Jeremy Hindle
    9. Jay Kelly (Netflix) — Mark Tildesley
    10. Hedda (Amazon/MGM) — Cara Brower
    11. Sentimental Value (Neon) — Jørgen Stangebye Larsen
    12. Roofman (Paramount) — Inbal Weinberg

    Possibilities
    13. Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) — Katia Wyszkop
    14. Train Dreams (Netflix) — Fiona Crombie & Alice Felton
    15. No Other Choice (Neon) — Ryu Seong-hie
    16. The Secret Agent (Neon) — Thales Junqueira
    17. The Fantastic Four: First Steps (Disney) — Kasra Farahani
    18. Predator: Badlands (20th Century) — Ra Vincent
    19. Tron: Ares (Disney) — Darren Gilford

    Long Shots
    20. Weapons (Warner Bros.) — Thomas Hammock
    21. Mickey 17 (Warner Bros.) — Fiona Crombie
    22. Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) — Rick Heinrichs
    23. Kiss of the Spider Woman (Roadside) — Scott Chambliss
    24. Ballad of a Small Player (Netflix) — Jonathan Houlding
    25. The Life of Chuck (Neon) — Steve Arnold
    26. Dead Man’s Wire (Row K) — Stefan Dechant

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century)

  • Best Sound

    Image Credit: Universal

    Frontrunners
    1. F1: The Movie (Apple/Warner Bros.)
    2. Sinners (Warner Bros.)
    3. Wicked: For Good (Universal)
    4. One Battle After Another (Warner Bros.)
    5. Frankenstein (Netflix)

    Major Threats
    6. Hamnet (Focus)
    7. Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (20th Century)
    8. Marty Supreme (A24)
    9. Warfare (A24)
    10. Superman (Warner Bros.)

    Possibilities
    11. Predator: Badlands (20th Century)
    12. Jurassic World: Rebirth (Universal)
    13. Tron: Ares (Disney)
    14. Mission: Impossible — The Final Reckoning (Paramount)
    15. Weapons (Warner Bros.)

    Long Shots
    16. A House of Dynamite (Netflix)
    17. If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (A24)
    18. The Smashing Machine (A24)
    19. Sirāt (Neon)
    20. The Lost Bus (Apple)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century)

  • Best Visual Effects

    Image Credit: Disney

    Frontrunners
    1. F1 (Apple/Warner Bros.)
    2. Wicked: For Good (Universal)
    3. Frankenstein (Netflix)
    4. Sinners (Warner Bros.)
    5. Superman (Warner Bros.)

    Major Threats
    6. Predator: Badlands (20th Century)
    7. The Fantastic Four: First Steps (Disney)
    8. Mission: Impossible — The Final Reckoning (Paramount)
    9. Jurassic World Rebirth (Universal)
    10. Tron: Ares (Disney)

    Possibilities
    11. Thunderbolts* (Disney)
    12. How to Train Your Dragon (Universal)
    13. 28 Years Later (Sony)
    14. Mickey 17 (Warner Bros.)
    15. Marty Supreme (A24)

    Long Shots
    16. Weapons (Warner Bros.)
    17. Warfare (A24)
    18. Lilo & Stitch (Disney)
    19. Bugonia (Focus)
    20. Sirāt (Neon)

    Still to See/Under Embargo
    Avatar: Fire and Ash (20th Century)

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