What we’re hearing on the Bengals: Defensive coordinator Al Golden knows getting Buffalo’s offense off the field will be crucial. The Bills lead the league in time of possession (33:10) and plays per drive. Golden said being effective on first and second downs will keep Buffalo from being in good spots on third downs to extend drives. “That’s where [Josh Allen] does a lot of things to beat you — arm, leg, scheme,” Golden said. — Ben Baby
What we’re hearing on the Bills: Turnovers have been a weakness for this Bills offense of late with multiple in each of the past four games. Allen has four straight games with an interception, tied for the second-longest streak of his career (nine straight in 2023). Buffalo can’t keep repeating that formula and being saved by its defense or the other team not taking advantage. “We got to make sure that we’re doing everything in our power to limit [turnovers] and keep the ball on on our side and in time of possession and making sure we score when we have those opportunities,” Allen said. — Alaina Getzenberg
Stat to know: Bengals RB Chase Brown has had a franchise-record six straight games with 100-plus scrimmage yards. The only players with a longer streak in the past five seasons are the 49ers’ Christian McCaffrey (eight in 2023, seven this season) and the Colts’ Jonathan Taylor (seven in 2021). — ESPN Research
Bold prediction: The Bills will post a pass block win rate over 85%, which would be a roughly 96th percentile score this season. Not only do the Bills have the highest pass block win rate in the NFL (72.7%), but the Bengals have the third-worst pass rush win rate (29.3%) and will likely be without DE Trey Hendrickson (hip) again. — Walder
What’s at stake: Cincinnati and Buffalo are facing different battles in the playoff push. The Bills have a 90% chance to make playoffs, according to ESPN Analytics (goes up to 96% with a win and down to 79% with a loss). Meanwhile, the Bengals have a 7% chance to make playoffs, according to ESPN Analytics (goes up to 14% with a win and down to 3% with a loss). See Playoff Machine. — ESPN Research
Fantasy nugget: Brown has a very favorable matchup against a Bills defense that has struggled against RBs all season. Buffalo has allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, and since the Bengals’ Week 10 bye, Brown has averaged 22.3 touches and 17.3 fantasy points. Having Burrow back under center also gives Brown an additional boost to his fantasy ceiling. See Week 14 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Bills are 1-4 ATS vs. teams with losing records (0-4 ATS in the past four games) this season. Read more. — ESPN Research
Maldonado’s pick: Bengals 28, Bills 27
Moody’s pick: Bills 27, Bengals 23
Walder’s pick: Bills 31, Bengals 20
FPI prediction: BUF, 62.9% (by an average of 5 points)
