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2026 Australian Open: Sasnovich [102nd] vs. Paolini [7th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

On Saturday, Jasmine Paolini (No. 7 in the world) meets Aliaksandra Sasnovich (No. 102) in the Round of 128 at the Australian Open.

Paolini has -285 odds to earn a spot in the Round of 64 over Sasnovich (+210).

ESPN+000 will air this match and have coverage throughout the Australian Open, you can watch it there from January 12-31.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 6:36 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Jasmine Paolini matchup info

  • Tournament: Australian Open
  • Round: Round of 128
  • Date: Saturday, January 17
  • TV Channel: ESPN+000
  • Live Stream: Fubo
  • Court Surface: Hard

Watch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo!

Sasnovich vs. Paolini Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Sasnovich has a 74.0% to win.

Sasnovich vs. Paolini Betting Odds

  • Sasnovich’s odds to win match: +210
  • Paolini’s odds to win match: -285
  • Sasnovich’s odds to win tournament: +40000
  • Paolini’s odds to win tournament: +6600

Sasnovich vs. Paolini matchup performance & stats

  • Sasnovich is 21-15 on hard courts over the past year.
  • In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts over the past year, Sasnovich has won 64.9% of her games on serve and 41.0% on return.
  • Sasnovich is 10th in break points won on hard courts over the past year, converting 162 of 367 (44.1%).
  • Sasnovich was defeated by Liudmila Samsonova (4-6, 4-6) on January 8 in the Round of 16 of her previous tournament, the Brisbane International presented by Evie.
  • Paolini has gone 23-14 through 12 tournaments on hard courts over the past year.
  • Paolini has a 67.1% winning percentage in service games on hard courts, and a 35.7% winning percentage in return games.
  • On hard courts Paolini has won 45.8% of break points (132 out of 288) to rank 29th.
  • On November 6, Paolini lost to No. 5-ranked Jessica Pegula, 2-6, 3-6, in the Round Robin of her last tournament, the Akron WTA Finals Guadalajara.

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